Chile Liga de Primera
Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 06′ 0–0
Corners0–0
Yellow cards0–1
Shots on target0–0
Shots off target2–2
Attacks4–14
Dangerous attacks4–4
Possession43%–57%
Predicted score
2-011%1-010%2-110%
Expected goals2.19 – 0.85
Avg goals3.04
Our pickHome
Coquimbo Unido 68%
Draw 19%
La Serena 13%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 68% | 1.48 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 87% | 1.15 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over +6% Value | 53% | 1.88 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.96 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home +6% Value | 58% | 1.73 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +291% Value | 11% | 8.70 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.60 · Draw 3.80 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.78 · Away 2.03 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.1
Coquimbo Unido
9.7
Expected corners
3.6
La Serena
Coquimbo Unido corner stats · La Serena corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with Coquimbo Unido winning 6.1 of them.
- Coquimbo Unido matches average 9.51 total corners (5.63 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Coquimbo Unido matches.
- La Serena win 4.68 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.75 over their last 44.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of La Serena matches.
- Games involving Coquimbo Unido produce 2.35 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- La Serena matches average 3.23 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (53%).
Coquimbo Unido — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | H | W San Marcos De Arica | 1–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-08-02 | A | L Palestino | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | L Union La Calera | 0–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | W Union La Calera | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | D Deportes Iquique | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | D Deportes Limache | 1–1 | 5–6 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | W San Marcos De Arica | 1–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-24 | H | D Deportes Limache | 1–1 | 12–1 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Deportes Iquique | 3–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D O'Higgins | 0–0 | 7–2 |
La Serena — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | H | L O'Higgins | 1–2 | 8–7 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Universidad Catolica | 3–3 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L Cobreloa | 0–1 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | L CD Antofagasta | 2–4 | 8–1 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | W Cobresal | 1–0 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W Cobreloa | 2–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | D Cobresal | 0–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | L CD Antofagasta | 2–4 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | D Audax Italiano | 1–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-08 | H | L Union La Calera | 0–2 | 7–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena?
- Our model gives Coquimbo Unido a 68% chance, the draw 19% and La Serena 13%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Coquimbo Unido vs La Serena?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.