Brazil Serie A3 Women
Coritiba (W) vs Realidade Jovem (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.38 – 1.03
Avg goals2.42
Our pickHome
Coritiba (W) 44%
Draw 30%
Realidade Jovem (W) 27%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.29 | 1.90 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 73% | 1.37 | 1.24 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 50% | 1.99 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 51% | 1.95 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.13 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.90 · Draw 3.60 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 8 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Coritiba (W) win 5.11 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.44 over their last 9.
- Coritiba (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 33% of the time.
- Across 17 recent matches, Realidade Jovem (W) games produced 7.82 corners on average — 3.24 taken by Realidade Jovem (W) themselves.
- Realidade Jovem (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 29% of the time.
- Coritiba (W) matches average 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 22% of them.
- Games involving Realidade Jovem (W) produce 3.59 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 29%.
- The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 50% probability.
Coritiba (W) — last 9 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | H | L Internacional (W) | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | W Real Heips (W) | 2–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Real Heips (W) | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W Rio Negro RR (W) | 3–1 | 10–0 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | W Criciuma (W) | 3–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-20 | A | W Brasil de Farroupilha (W) | 1–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-05 | H | D Brasil de Farroupilha (W) | 0–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Criciuma (W) | 1–0 | 10–2 |
| 2025-12-15 | H | W Toledo EC (W) | 4–1 | 4–1 |
Realidade Jovem (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Criciuma (W) | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | W Criciuma (W) | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | W Real Heips (W) | 3–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | L Itabirito (W) | 1–2 | 2–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Araguari (W) | 2–0 | 4–0 |
| 2026-04-20 | H | W Sao Jose SP (W) | 3–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W Sao Jose SP (W) | 2–0 | 9–2 |
| 2025-11-27 | H | L Bragantino (W) | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2025-11-17 | A | L Corinthians (W) | 0–3 | 4–8 |
| 2025-11-14 | H | L Sao Paulo (W) | 0–4 | 1–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Coritiba (W) vs Realidade Jovem (W)?
- Our model gives Coritiba (W) a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Realidade Jovem (W) 27%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.