Europe Friendlies
Cottbus vs Werder Bremen Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.15 – 1.45
Avg goals2.60
Our pickAway
Cottbus 29%
Draw 29%
Werder Bremen 43%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 43% | 2.35 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 71% | 1.40 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 52% | 1.93 | – |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.87 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.34 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.10 · Draw 4.00 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Across 41 recent matches, Cottbus games produced 11.29 corners on average — 6.27 taken by Cottbus themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 61% of Cottbus matches.
- Werder Bremen matches average 9.35 total corners (4.35 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Werder Bremen matches.
- Games involving Cottbus produce 3.29 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- Werder Bremen matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).
Cottbus — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Mlada Boleslav | 2–4 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | W Jahn Regensburg | 1–0 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Wehen SV | 2–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L MSV Duisburg | 1–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | W FC Viktoria Köln | 2–0 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | W Rot-Weiss Essen | 5–3 | 8–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L VfL Osnabruck | 0–1 | 11–5 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | W 1860 Munich | 3–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | W TSV Havelse | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | D SSV Ulm 1846 | 1–1 | 9–7 |
Werder Bremen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Fagiano Okayama | 2–0 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L Borussia Dortmund | 0–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | L TSG Hoffenheim | 0–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Augsburg | 1–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | D VfB Stuttgart | 1–1 | 2–14 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Hamburg | 3–1 | 7–3 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | L Cologne | 1–3 | 5–8 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L RB Leipzig | 1–2 | 1–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Wolfsburg | 1–0 | 4–8 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | L Mainz | 0–2 | 9–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cottbus vs Werder Bremen?
- Our model gives Cottbus a 29% chance, the draw 29% and Werder Bremen 43%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.