Australia South Australia State League 1
Cove vs Cumberland United Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.47 – 1.48
Avg goals2.95
Our pickAway
Cove 36%
Draw 27%
Cumberland United 37%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 37% | 2.72 | 2.00 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 56% | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home +23% Value | 63% | 1.58 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.99 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.80 · Draw 3.75 · Away 2.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0.25 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.5
Cove
9.0
Expected corners
4.6
Cumberland United
Cove corner stats · Cumberland United corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9 corners here; Cove are forecast for 4.5.
- Across 21 recent matches, Cove games produced 9.86 corners on average — 4.95 taken by Cove themselves.
- Cove games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
- Cumberland United matches average 8.39 total corners (3.96 won per game) across their last 28 with corner data.
- Cumberland United games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- Cove matches average 3.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
- Games involving Cumberland United produce 3.14 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The last 6 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.2 across their last 6 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 56% probability.
Cove — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | L Adelaide Cobras | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D South Adelaide Panthers | 2–2 | 6–10 |
| 2026-07-14 | H | L Adelaide United | 0–5 | 1–9 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | D Modbury Jets | 0–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | D Adelaide Atletico | 0–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W Salisbury United | 4–0 | 6–6 |
| 2026-06-05 | A | L Eastern United | 0–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Adelaide Blue Eagles | 1–3 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | L Fulham United FC | 2–3 | 10–6 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 1–1 | 12–1 |
Cumberland United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Adelaide Blue Eagles | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-21 | H | L Heidelberg Utd | 0–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-16 | A | W Fulham United FC | 3–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D White City FK Beograd | 2–2 | 1–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Adelaide Croatia Raiders | 1–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | W Eastern United | 1–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | W South Adelaide Panthers | 5–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Adelaide Cobras | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-10 | H | W Adelaide Cobras | 3–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Adelaide Atletico | 1–2 | 4–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cove vs Cumberland United?
- Our model gives Cove a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Cumberland United 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Cove vs Cumberland United?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.