MathPredictions
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UK Friendlies

Crawley Town vs Reading Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.08 – 2.04
Avg goals3.11
Our pickAway
Crawley Town 18% Draw 23% Reading 59%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 59% 1.71 2.00
Double chance – Draw or away 82% 1.23 1.29
Goals 2.75 Over +8% Value 55% 1.81 1.83
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.72 –
Asian handicap 0.75 Away +6% Value 53% 1.87 1.80
Corners 8.5 Over +7% Value 59% 1.69 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 11% 9.33 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 3.60  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 2.5 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 2.00  ·  Away 1.80
Corners 8.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.4 Crawley Town
9.3 Expected corners
4.9 Reading

Crawley Town corner stats · Reading corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 59% Under 41%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with Crawley Town winning 4.4 of them.
  • Crawley Town win 5.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 11.83 over their last 53.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 75% of Crawley Town matches.
  • Across 56 recent matches, Reading games produced 9.27 corners on average — 4.14 taken by Reading themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 39% of Reading matches.
  • Games involving Crawley Town produce 2.57 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • Reading matches average 2.77 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
  • Across their previous 3 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 3 meetings with corner data averaged 11 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (55%).

Crawley Town — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L Oxford Utd 1–3 6–9
2026-07-25 A W Eastleigh 1–0 6–4
2026-05-02 H D Salford City 0–0 3–11
2026-04-25 A D Accrington Stanley 3–3 3–5
2026-04-18 H D Shrewsbury 0–0 7–2
2026-04-11 A L Bristol Rovers 1–3 2–4
2026-04-06 H L Grimsby 0–2 3–9
2026-04-03 A W Newport County 2–0 2–7
2026-03-28 H W Gillingham 2–0 2–7
2026-03-21 A L Fleetwood Town 0–1 10–4

Reading — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Newport County 4–0 5–8
2026-07-25 A W Woking 2–0 6–4
2026-07-11 A W Farnborough 2–1 5–1
2026-05-02 H L Blackpool 0–1 3–8
2026-04-25 A D Rotherham 1–1 2–3
2026-04-18 H L Cardiff 1–3 7–9
2026-04-11 A L Doncaster 0–1 4–2
2026-04-06 H L Lincoln City 1–2 3–3
2026-04-03 A D Huddersfield 1–1 2–4
2026-03-28 H W Wigan 3–0 3–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Crawley Town vs Reading?
Our model gives Crawley Town a 18% chance, the draw 23% and Reading 59%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Crawley Town vs Reading?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 59% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.