UK Friendlies
Croydon Athletic vs Burgess Hill Town Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.65 – 2.09
Avg goals3.74
Our pickAway
Croydon Athletic 30%
Draw 23%
Burgess Hill Town 47%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 47% | 2.11 | 1.91 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.29 | 1.17 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 72% | 1.40 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 9% | 11.07 | 9.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.00 · Draw 3.90 · Away 1.91 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Burgess Hill Town win 4.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.47 over their last 17.
- Burgess Hill Town games clear the 9.5 corner line 47% of the time.
- Burgess Hill Town matches average 3.53 goals, with both teams scoring in 82% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.50 (51%).
Croydon Athletic — last 4 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | H | D AFC Whyteleafe | 1–1 | 9–6 |
| 2026-04-29 | H | W Sittingbourne | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| 2025-10-01 | A | D VCD Athletic | 1–1 | 6–6 |
| 2025-09-13 | A | L Hampton & Richmond | 2–4 | 3–4 |
Burgess Hill Town — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Dover | 0–1 | 0–8 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Sevenoaks Town | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | W Chichester City | 2–0 | 8–6 |
| 2026-03-14 | A | W Ramsgate | 4–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Welling | 2–1 | 10–3 |
| 2026-03-04 | A | W Wingate & Finchley | 2–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-02-14 | A | L Whitehawk | 1–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-01-17 | A | D Folkestone Invicta | 1–1 | 3–12 |
| 2026-01-07 | H | L Hashtag United | 1–5 | 10–0 |
| 2025-11-19 | H | W AFC Whyteleafe | 2–1 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Croydon Athletic vs Burgess Hill Town?
- Our model gives Croydon Athletic a 30% chance, the draw 23% and Burgess Hill Town 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.