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Mexico Liga de Expansion

Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.22 – 1.17
Avg goals2.40
Our pickHome
Cruz Azul Hidalgo 36% Draw 30% Venados FC 34%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 36% 2.78 2.50
Double chance – Home or away 70% 1.44 1.32
Goals 2.25 Under 50% 1.99 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 50% 2.00 –
Asian handicap 0 Home 52% 1.93 2.03
Correct score – 1-1 14% 6.95 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.50  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.80
Goals 2.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 9 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 29 recent matches, Venados FC games produced 10.31 corners on average — 5.83 taken by Venados FC themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 59% of Venados FC matches.
  • Games involving Venados FC produce 3.86 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 62%.
  • The model leans Under 2.25 goals at 50% probability.

Cruz Azul Hidalgo — last 1 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A D Tapatio 0–0 10–5

Venados FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Oaxaca 3–0 12–1
2026-04-19 A D Tlaxcala FC 2–2 4–8
2026-04-12 H W Universidad Guadalajara 2–1 8–3
2026-04-06 A D Jaiba Brava 1–1 3–7
2026-03-28 H W Atlante 4–1 1–7
2026-03-21 A L Tepatitlan de Morelos 0–2 5–3
2026-03-07 H L Correcaminos 0–1 5–3
2026-02-28 A L Mineros de Zacatecas 0–2 6–8
2026-02-15 A L Atletico Morelia 1–2 5–4
2026-02-11 H W Cancun FC 2–0 2–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Cruz Azul Hidalgo vs Venados FC?
Our model gives Cruz Azul Hidalgo a 36% chance, the draw 30% and Venados FC 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.