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Mexico Liga MX

Cruz Azul vs Atlante Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.93 – 1.12
Avg goals3.05
Our pickHome
Cruz Azul 55% Draw 24% Atlante 21%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 55% 1.81 1.33
Double chance – Home or draw 79% 1.26 1.05
Goals 3 Under 53% 1.88 1.98
Both teams to score – Yes +5% Value 58% 1.71 1.80
Asian handicap -1.5 Away +26% Value 67% 1.49 1.90
Corners 9.5 Under 52% 1.93 2.00
Correct score – 1-1 +7% Value 11% 8.87 9.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.33  ·  Draw 5.00  ·  Away 9.50
Goals 3 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.9 Cruz Azul
9.3 Expected corners
4.4 Atlante

Cruz Azul corner stats · Atlante corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with Cruz Azul winning 4.9 of them.
  • Across 54 recent matches, Cruz Azul games produced 8.74 corners on average — 5.24 taken by Cruz Azul themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 35% of Cruz Azul matches.
  • Atlante matches average 9.24 total corners (5.97 won per game) across their last 34 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Atlante matches.
  • Games involving Cruz Azul produce 3.07 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
  • Atlante matches average 2.79 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
  • Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 10.3 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (53%).

Cruz Azul — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 A W Toluca 3–1 4–5
2026-07-22 H W Puebla 2–1 7–3
2026-07-18 A W Atletico San Luis 3–2 4–4
2026-07-05 A D Atletico Morelia 3–3 3–5
2026-05-25 A W Unam Pumas 2–1 7–7
2026-05-22 H D Unam Pumas 0–0 7–1
2026-05-17 A W Chivas Guadalajara 2–1 7–8
2026-05-14 H D Chivas Guadalajara 2–2 6–1
2026-05-10 H W Atlas 1–0 6–6
2026-05-03 A W Atlas 3–2 5–2

Atlante — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Club America 1–1 2–9
2026-07-17 A L Necaxa 1–2 5–11
2026-04-27 A L Tepatitlan de Morelos 0–2 1–7
2026-04-24 H W Tepatitlan de Morelos 2–0 5–3
2026-04-18 H D Club Atletico La Paz 1–1 14–2
2026-04-12 A L Cancun FC 1–2 6–2
2026-04-05 H W Mineros de Zacatecas 3–1 4–2
2026-03-28 A L Venados FC 1–4 7–1
2026-03-22 H W Dorados 2–0 8–2
2026-03-19 A D Tlaxcala FC 1–1 3–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Cruz Azul vs Atlante?
Our model gives Cruz Azul a 55% chance, the draw 24% and Atlante 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Cruz Azul vs Atlante?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.