Mexico Liga MX Femenil
Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
FT 3–1 (HT 1–1)
Corners5–1
Yellow cards1–2
Shots on target5–1
Shots off target6–5
Attacks61–35
Dangerous attacks41–19
Possession50%–50%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.67 – 1.09
Avg goals3.76
Our pickHome
Cruz Azul (W) 70%
Draw 17%
Atlas (W) 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 70% | 1.42 | 1.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.14 | 0.99 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 62% | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | Away | 55% | 1.81 | 2.00 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 58% | 1.72 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +135% Value | 9% | 11.06 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.20 · Draw 5.75 · Away 10.00 |
| Goals 3.5 | Over 1.98 · Under 1.83 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.6
Cruz Azul (W)
10.2
Expected corners
3.7
Atlas (W)
Cruz Azul (W) corner stats · Atlas (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 58%
Under 42%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10.2 corners in this match, with Cruz Azul (W) winning 6.6 of them.
- Cruz Azul (W) matches average 10.34 total corners (5.55 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 53% of Cruz Azul (W) matches.
- Atlas (W) win 3.68 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.32 over their last 31.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Atlas (W) matches.
- Games involving Cruz Azul (W) produce 3.71 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 66%.
- Atlas (W) matches average 3.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.4 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.50 (52%).
Cruz Azul (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | H | W Atlas (W) | 3–1 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-03 | A | L Monterrey (W) | 0–4 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-30 | H | D Monterrey (W) | 1–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Unam Pumas (W) | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | W Toluca (W) | 4–0 | 7–6 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | L Atletico San Luis (W) | 2–3 | 5–9 |
| 2026-03-29 | H | W Puebla (W) | 4–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-03-22 | H | W Mazatlan FC (W) | 1–0 | 6–0 |
| 2026-03-18 | A | W Santos Laguna (W) | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-13 | H | W Necaxa (W) | 3–0 | 5–2 |
Atlas (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L Cruz Azul (W) | 1–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | L Juarez FC (W) | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | D Santos Laguna (W) | 1–1 | 0–2 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | L Club America (W) | 0–2 | 1–9 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Necaxa (W) | 3–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-03-24 | A | L Leon (W) | 0–4 | 3–7 |
| 2026-03-17 | H | L Monterrey (W) | 0–3 | 1–2 |
| 2026-03-13 | A | W Queretaro (W) | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-02-21 | H | L Cruz Azul (W) | 4–6 | 3–7 |
| 2026-02-17 | A | L Chivas Guadalajara (W) | 2–4 | 3–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W)?
- Our model gives Cruz Azul (W) a 70% chance, the draw 17% and Atlas (W) 12%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Cruz Azul (W) vs Atlas (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 58% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.