Romania Liga I
CS U Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-0
Expected goals1.75 – 0.62
Avg goals2.37
Our pickHome
CS U Craiova 64%
Draw 25%
Petrolul Ploiesti 12%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 64% | 1.57 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 88% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 52% | 1.94 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-0 +99% Value | 15% | 6.53 | 13.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.48 · Draw 3.70 · Away 6.00 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.8
CS U Craiova
9.4
Expected corners
3.6
Petrolul Ploiesti
CS U Craiova corner stats · Petrolul Ploiesti corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 48%
Under 52%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with CS U Craiova winning 5.8 of them.
- Across 62 recent matches, CS U Craiova games produced 9.34 corners on average — 5.06 taken by CS U Craiova themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 48% of CS U Craiova matches.
- Petrolul Ploiesti matches average 9.26 total corners (4.91 won per game) across their last 47 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Petrolul Ploiesti matches.
- Games involving CS U Craiova produce 2.55 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- Petrolul Ploiesti matches average 2.32 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.7 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (51%).
CS U Craiova — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | D Levski Sofia | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Dinamo Bucharest | 1–5 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Levski Sofia | 0–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W UTA Arad | 4–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | W FC ML Vitebsk | 1–0 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | D Universitatea Cluj | 1–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-07-09 | A | W FC ML Vitebsk | 4–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-25 | H | D Sabah | 1–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-05-26 | A | D Rapid Bucuresti | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | W Universitatea Cluj | 5–0 | 5–1 |
Petrolul Ploiesti — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L FC Arges Pitesti | 0–1 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | W Dinamo Bucharest | 1–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | D ASA Targu Mures | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-03 | A | L Arka Gdynia | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | W Chojniczanka Chojnice | 4–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-06-30 | A | L Olimpia Grudziadz | 1–4 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-19 | H | L Otelul Galati | 1–5 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D FC Botosani | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | D UTA Arad | 1–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L FCSB | 1–3 | 6–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CS U Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- Our model gives CS U Craiova a 64% chance, the draw 25% and Petrolul Ploiesti 12%. The most likely score is 1-0.
- How many corners are expected in CS U Craiova vs Petrolul Ploiesti?
- The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.