Bulgaria First League
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.03
Avg goals2.44
Our pickHome
CSKA 1948 Sofia 44%
Draw 29%
Arda Kardzhali 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 44% | 2.26 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 74% | 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 2.03 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 50% | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 52% | 1.93 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9 | Under | 54% | 1.85 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.18 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.20 · Draw 3.20 · Away 3.40 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 2.03 · Under 1.78 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.1
CSKA 1948 Sofia
8.7
Expected corners
3.6
Arda Kardzhali
CSKA 1948 Sofia corner stats · Arda Kardzhali corner stats
Corner line 9.00
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.7 corners here; CSKA 1948 Sofia are forecast for 5.1.
- CSKA 1948 Sofia win 5.04 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.49 over their last 45.
- CSKA 1948 Sofia games clear the 9.5 corner line 49% of the time.
- Across 50 recent matches, Arda Kardzhali games produced 7.96 corners on average — 4.26 taken by Arda Kardzhali themselves.
- Arda Kardzhali games clear the 9.5 corner line 24% of the time.
- CSKA 1948 Sofia matches average 2.51 goals, with both teams scoring in 42% of them.
- Games involving Arda Kardzhali produce 2.20 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 32%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.5 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 7.4 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 51% probability.
CSKA 1948 Sofia — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D Spartak Trnava | 0–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Botev Vratsa | 2–1 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | D Spartak Trnava | 0–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Spartak Varna | 2–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-07-07 | A | W FK Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L NK Varazdin | 0–1 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-30 | H | W Partizan Belgrade | 3–0 | 6–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W KF Drita | 4–1 | 5–0 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | D Levski Sofia | 0–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Ludogorets Razgrad | 1–0 | 7–2 |
Arda Kardzhali — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Slavia Sofia | 1–0 | 10–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Septemvri Sofia | 1–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-10 | A | L Botev Vratsa | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | D Beitar Jerusalem | 0–0 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-06-26 | A | L Botev Plovdiv | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | A | W Cherno More Varna | 3–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 4–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | W Botev Plovdiv | 2–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Lokomotiv Plovdiv | 0–2 | 7–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
- Our model gives CSKA 1948 Sofia a 44% chance, the draw 29% and Arda Kardzhali 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
- The corner model projects 8.7 total corners. Over 9.00 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.