Chile Primera B
Curico Unido vs Cobreloa Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.28 – 1.41
Avg goals2.69
Our pickAway
Curico Unido 33%
Draw 28%
Cobreloa 39%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 39% | 2.58 | 2.30 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.22 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 50% | 1.98 | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Asian handicap | 0 | Away | 54% | 1.85 | 1.78 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 50% | 1.98 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.42 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.60 · Draw 3.30 · Away 2.30 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 2.03 · Away 1.78 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
Curico Unido
9.5
Expected corners
4.2
Cobreloa
Curico Unido corner stats · Cobreloa corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with Curico Unido winning 5.3 of them.
- Curico Unido matches average 9.32 total corners (4.47 won per game) across their last 34 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of Curico Unido matches.
- Cobreloa win 5.05 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.93 over their last 41.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Cobreloa matches.
- Games involving Curico Unido produce 2.38 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
- Cobreloa matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
- Across their previous 6 meetings, these sides averaged 4.2 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 6 meetings with corner data averaged 7.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (50%).
Curico Unido — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | L San Luis Quillota | 1–2 | 8–1 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Nublense | 2–2 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | D Universidad de Concepcion | 2–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W Nublense | 1–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-06-09 | A | W Deportes Temuco | 1–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-02 | H | D CD Antofagasta | 0–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | D Deportes Iquique | 1–1 | 2–12 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Santiago Wanderers | 0–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-05-12 | H | D San Marcos De Arica | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | L Union Espanola | 0–2 | 2–3 |
Cobreloa — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 4–2 | 8–11 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W La Serena | 1–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-06 | A | D Cobresal | 2–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-29 | A | L La Serena | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W Cobresal | 2–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | D Puerto Montt | 1–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-06-01 | H | W Rangers de Talca | 2–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | D Deportes Recoleta | 2–2 | 10–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | W Deportes Copiapo | 4–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Santiago Wanderers | 1–5 | 2–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Curico Unido vs Cobreloa?
- Our model gives Curico Unido a 33% chance, the draw 28% and Cobreloa 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Curico Unido vs Cobreloa?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.