Peru Liga 1
Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.09 – 0.94
Avg goals3.03
Our pickHome
Cusco FC 63%
Draw 22%
UTC Cajamarca 15%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 63% | 1.59 | 1.55 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 85% | 1.18 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over +6% Value | 58% | 1.72 | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 54% | 1.84 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Home | 52% | 1.93 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Over | 55% | 1.82 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +206% Value | 11% | 9.47 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.55 · Draw 3.90 · Away 5.75 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.9
Cusco FC
8.9
Expected corners
4.0
UTC Cajamarca
Cusco FC corner stats · UTC Cajamarca corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 55%
Under 45%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Cusco FC are forecast for 4.9.
- Cusco FC win 3.70 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.62 over their last 47.
- Cusco FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 32% of the time.
- Across 38 recent matches, UTC Cajamarca games produced 9.45 corners on average — 4.63 taken by UTC Cajamarca themselves.
- UTC Cajamarca games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Cusco FC matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
- Games involving UTC Cajamarca produce 2.76 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.1 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 58% probability.
Cusco FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Universitario de Deportes | 1–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | W Alianza Atletico | 4–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | L Cienciano | 1–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-23 | A | L Deportivo Binacional | 3–4 | 8–5 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | D Deportivo Garcilaso | 0–0 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W AD Tarma | 2–1 | 0–12 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | L Flamengo | 0–3 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Atletico Grau | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-21 | H | L Independiente Medellin | 2–3 | 9–3 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Sport Boys | 0–1 | 3–7 |
UTC Cajamarca — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | D Deportivo Moquegua | 0–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Atletico Grau | 1–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-13 | H | W Club Ada Jaen | 4–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W FC Cajamarca | 3–1 | 12–8 |
| 2026-06-16 | A | D Deportivo Llacuabamba | 2–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | D CD Los Chankas | 2–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D Sport Boys | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | L Deportivo Garcilaso | 0–2 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L FC Cajamarca | 1–2 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L FBC Melgar | 0–2 | 1–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?
- Our model gives Cusco FC a 63% chance, the draw 22% and UTC Cajamarca 15%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Cusco FC vs UTC Cajamarca?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 55% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.