Poland Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 41′ 2–0
Corners2–4
Yellow cards0–2
Shots on target3–0
Shots off target1–0
Attacks34–32
Dangerous attacks24–18
Possession60%–40%
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.33 – 1.09
Avg goals3.42
Our pickHome
Czarni Sosnowiec (W) 64%
Draw 20%
UKS SMS Lodz (W) 16%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 64% | 1.56 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 0.99 |
| Goals | 3.5 | Under | 55% | 1.81 | 1.98 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.64 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Away | 57% | 1.74 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 57% | 1.77 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +152% Value | 10% | 10.33 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.22 · Draw 5.25 · Away 10.00 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Czarni Sosnowiec (W)
10.0
Expected corners
5.0
UKS SMS Lodz (W)
Czarni Sosnowiec (W) corner stats · UKS SMS Lodz (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- Our model projects 10 corners in this match, with Czarni Sosnowiec (W) winning 5 of them.
- Czarni Sosnowiec (W) matches average 11.50 total corners (7.15 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 65% of Czarni Sosnowiec (W) matches.
- UKS SMS Lodz (W) win 6.17 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.78 over their last 23.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of UKS SMS Lodz (W) matches.
- Games involving Czarni Sosnowiec (W) produce 3.65 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- UKS SMS Lodz (W) matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.50 (55%).
Czarni Sosnowiec (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Athlone Town (W) | 3–1 | 9–0 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W UKS SMS Lodz (W) | 3–2 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Slask Wroclaw (W) | 2–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | D GKS Katowice (W) | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Gornik Leczna (W) | 4–1 | 6–10 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | D Pogon Szczecin (W) | 2–2 | 7–5 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | D Pogon Szczecin (W) | 1–1 | 1–7 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L GKS Katowice (W) | 0–2 | 8–0 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | W Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 4–0 | 10–2 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | W AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1–0 | 10–8 |
UKS SMS Lodz (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Czarni Sosnowiec (W) | 2–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L GKS Katowice (W) | 1–2 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Lech Poznan UAM (W) | 1–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W AZS UJ Krakow (W) | 1–0 | 7–2 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Stomilanki Olsztyn (W) | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | W Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W) | 2–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-29 | A | W APLG Gdansk (W) | 6–0 | 12–4 |
| 2026-03-25 | A | L Gornik Leczna (W) | 0–3 | 5–0 |
| 2026-03-21 | H | D Pogon Tczew (W) | 3–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-03-15 | H | W Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1–0 | 6–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?
- Our model gives Czarni Sosnowiec (W) a 64% chance, the draw 20% and UKS SMS Lodz (W) 16%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Czarni Sosnowiec (W) vs UKS SMS Lodz (W)?
- The corner model projects 10.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.