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South Korea K League 1

Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gwangju FC Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.74 – 0.85
Avg goals2.59
Our pickHome
Daejeon Hana Citizen 58% Draw 26% Gwangju FC 17%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 58% 1.74 1.48
Double chance – Home or draw 83% 1.20 1.07
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.92 1.98
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.93 1.80
Asian handicap -1 Away +9% Value 56% 1.78 2.00
Corners 8.5 Under 51% 1.96 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.21 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.48  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 6.00
Goals 2.5 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap -1 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00
Corners 8.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Daejeon Hana Citizen
8.4 Expected corners
3.7 Gwangju FC

Daejeon Hana Citizen corner stats · Gwangju FC corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.4 corners in this match, with Daejeon Hana Citizen winning 4.7 of them.
  • Daejeon Hana Citizen matches average 9.03 total corners (4.22 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 41% of Daejeon Hana Citizen matches.
  • Gwangju FC win 3.39 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.34 over their last 38.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 37% of Gwangju FC matches.
  • Games involving Daejeon Hana Citizen produce 2.59 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
  • Gwangju FC matches average 2.42 goals, with both teams scoring in 32% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.6 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 7.6 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Daejeon Hana Citizen — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Gimcheon Sangmu FC 2–3 6–3
2026-07-21 A D Jeonbuk Motors 0–0 5–5
2026-07-18 H D Ulsan HD 2–2 6–3
2026-07-12 A D Jeju United 0–0 9–7
2026-07-04 H D Bucheon FC 1995 2–2 4–1
2026-05-16 H L FC Seoul 1–2 3–6
2026-05-12 A L Gangwon FC 0–2 1–6
2026-05-09 H L Pohang Steelers 0–2 1–5
2026-05-05 H D Incheon Utd 0–0 5–7
2026-05-02 A W Gwangju FC 5–0 0–2

Gwangju FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 H W Cheonan City 1–0 2–3
2026-07-26 H L Jeju United 1–2 4–11
2026-07-22 H D Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 1–11
2026-07-19 A D FC Anyang 1–1 7–3
2026-07-11 H L Pohang Steelers 0–3 7–2
2026-07-05 H D Ulsan HD 1–1 3–8
2026-05-16 A L Incheon Utd 0–4 1–5
2026-05-12 H L FC Seoul 0–1 1–9
2026-05-09 H D Gangwon FC 0–0 5–6
2026-05-05 A L Jeonbuk Motors 0–4 3–4

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
Our model gives Daejeon Hana Citizen a 58% chance, the draw 26% and Gwangju FC 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Daejeon Hana Citizen vs Gwangju FC?
The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.