Australia NPL Victoria U23
Dandenong Thunder U23 vs Dandenong City U23 Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.95 – 2.62
Avg goals4.57
Our pickAway
Dandenong Thunder U23 28%
Draw 19%
Dandenong City U23 52%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 52% | 1.91 | 1.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 81% | 1.24 | 1.13 |
| Goals | 4 | Over +8% Value | 59% | 1.69 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 80% | 1.25 | – |
| Asian handicap | 1 | Home +8% Value | 58% | 1.71 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 7% | 14.41 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 3.80 · Draw 4.50 · Away 1.60 |
| Goals 4 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap 1 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.5
Dandenong Thunder U23
9.1
Expected corners
5.5
Dandenong City U23
Dandenong Thunder U23 corner stats · Dandenong City U23 corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.1 corners in this match, with Dandenong Thunder U23 winning 3.5 of them.
- Across 19 recent matches, Dandenong Thunder U23 games produced 8.47 corners on average — 3.63 taken by Dandenong Thunder U23 themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Dandenong Thunder U23 matches.
- Dandenong City U23 matches average 9.40 total corners (5.67 won per game) across their last 15 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Dandenong City U23 matches.
- Games involving Dandenong Thunder U23 produce 4.47 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 74%.
- Dandenong City U23 matches average 5.27 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.
- Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 4.8 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 9.8 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 4.00 (59%).
Dandenong Thunder U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Green Gully U23 | 1–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Bentleigh Greens U23 | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L South Melbourne U23 | 0–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Avondale U23 | 0–4 | 2–6 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Caroline Springs George Cross U23 | 2–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | W Caroline Springs George Cross U23 | 4–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Heidelberg Utd U23 | 2–3 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | L St Albans Saints U23 | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 2–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Preston Lions U23 | 2–5 | 4–2 |
Dandenong City U23 — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Green Gully U23 | 1–4 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Bentleigh Greens U23 | 2–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Hume City U23 | 0–1 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Caroline Springs George Cross U23 | 1–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-06 | H | L Heidelberg Utd U23 | 1–10 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L St Albans Saints U23 | 2–3 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-08 | A | L Preston Lions U23 | 2–4 | 7–0 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Altona Magic U23 | 1–3 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | W Dandenong Thunder U23 | 5–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | D Bentleigh Greens U23 | 4–4 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Dandenong Thunder U23 vs Dandenong City U23?
- Our model gives Dandenong Thunder U23 a 28% chance, the draw 19% and Dandenong City U23 52%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in Dandenong Thunder U23 vs Dandenong City U23?
- The corner model projects 9.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.