MathPredictions

Europe Friendlies

De Graafschap vs Excelsior Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.40 – 1.86
Avg goals3.26
Our pickAway
De Graafschap 28% Draw 25% Excelsior 47%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 47% 2.11 1.75
Double chance Home or away 75% 1.33 1.12
Goals 3 Over 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 65% 1.55
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +6% Value 59% 1.71 1.83
Correct score 1-1 +43% Value 11% 9.07 15.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.10  ·  Draw 4.50  ·  Away 1.75
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

De Graafschap — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H W AE Kifisias 4–2 2–8
2026-07-12 H L AEK Athens 1–2 5–6
2026-06-27 A W FC Utrecht 2–1 2–7
2026-05-10 H D Almere City 2–2 7–5
2026-05-07 A L Almere City 1–3 3–3
2026-04-25 A L FC Emmen 0–1 6–7
2026-04-18 H W Cambuur Leeuwarden 3–1 5–2
2026-04-11 A D VVV 3–3 4–9
2026-04-06 H W AZ Reserves 5–0 9–2
2026-04-04 A D FC Eindhoven 2–2 5–3

Excelsior — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A W NAC 3–1 6–2
2026-07-04 H W Cambuur Leeuwarden 3–2 0–7
2026-05-17 A W Sparta Rotterdam 3–2 2–5
2026-05-10 H D FC Volendam 1–1 5–0
2026-05-03 A W FC Groningen 3–2 8–5
2026-04-26 H W FC Utrecht 4–0 1–2
2026-04-12 A D PEC Zwolle 2–2 2–5
2026-04-05 H L NEC 0–2 2–5
2026-03-21 A D Heracles 1–1 1–6
2026-03-15 A L Feyenoord 1–2 5–9

Match questions

Who is predicted to win De Graafschap vs Excelsior?
Our model gives De Graafschap a 28% chance, the draw 25% and Excelsior 47%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.