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Argentina Liga Profesional

Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 21′ 0–0

Corners0–3
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–1
Shots off target1–3
Attacks18–18
Dangerous attacks12–10
Possession52%–48%
Predicted score 1-113%1-011%2-19%
Expected goals1.42 – 1.06
Avg goals2.48
Our pickHome
Defensa y Justicia 45% Draw 28% Newell's 28%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 45% 2.23 2.05
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.38 1.38
Goals 2 Over +13% Value 61% 1.64 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes +5% Value 50% 2.00 2.10
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 52% 1.93 2.03
Corners 8.5 Over 56% 1.78 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.63 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.05  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 4.20
Goals 2 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap -0.5 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78
Corners 8.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.7 Defensa y Justicia
9.0 Expected corners
3.3 Newell's

Defensa y Justicia corner stats · Newell's corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 56% Under 44%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9 corners in this match, with Defensa y Justicia winning 5.7 of them.
  • Across 34 recent matches, Defensa y Justicia games produced 8.32 corners on average — 4.26 taken by Defensa y Justicia themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 24% of Defensa y Justicia matches.
  • Newell's matches average 8.89 total corners (3.77 won per game) across their last 35 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 34% of Newell's matches.
  • Games involving Defensa y Justicia produce 2.41 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
  • Newell's matches average 2.49 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9.7 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.00 (61%).

Defensa y Justicia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 A L Estudiantes LP 0–4 4–2
2026-07-30 H W Deportivo Riestra 2–1 5–3
2026-07-24 H D Aldosivi 1–1 6–2
2026-07-17 A L Racing Club 1–4 2–2
2026-05-05 A L Gimnasia Mendoza 1–2 7–2
2026-04-24 H L Boca Juniors 0–4 4–1
2026-04-19 A L Independiente 1–3 5–6
2026-04-14 H L Talleres Cordoba 1–2 6–2
2026-04-07 A L Instituto AC Cordoba 0–2 6–5
2026-04-02 H W CA Chaco For Ever 2–1 4–2

Newell's — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-03 H D Boca Juniors 2–2 5–7
2026-07-31 A L Independiente 0–1 2–7
2026-07-30 A D Leones de Rosario 1–1 4–4
2026-07-26 H W Talleres Cordoba 1–0 8–9
2026-05-05 A D Velez Sarsfield 1–1 4–7
2026-04-27 H D Instituto AC Cordoba 1–1 4–3
2026-04-18 A W Union Santa Fe 3–2 4–15
2026-04-13 H D San Lorenzo 0–0 3–1
2026-04-06 A W Central Cordoba SdE 3–1 2–3
2026-03-30 H L Acassuso 0–2 8–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's?
Our model gives Defensa y Justicia a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Newell's 28%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's?
The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 56% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.