Argentina Regional League
Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.72 – 1.00
Avg goals2.72
Our pickHome
Defensores Puerto Vilelas 53%
Draw 26%
Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 53% | 1.89 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.89 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +12% Value | 61% | 1.64 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 +6% Value | 12% | 8.01 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.53 · Draw 3.80 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Match trends
- Defensores Puerto Vilelas matches average 9.86 total corners (4.21 won per game) across their last 29 with corner data.
- Defensores Puerto Vilelas games clear the 9.5 corner line 45% of the time.
- Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves win 5.00 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.60 over their last 5.
- Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves games clear the 9.5 corner line 100% of the time.
- Defensores Puerto Vilelas matches average 2.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 41% of them.
- Games involving Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves produce 2.60 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 51% probability.
Defensores Puerto Vilelas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | A | L Central Benitez | 0–2 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | W CSD Fontana | 4–2 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Resistencia Central | 2–0 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | L CA Bartolome Mitre | 0–1 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | W CA Sarmiento de la Banda | 3–0 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W Sol de America de Formosa | 2–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | L Sarmiento de Resistencia | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Boca Unidos | 2–0 | 4–9 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | L Tucuman Central | 0–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-26 | H | L San Martin Formosa | 2–3 | 4–6 |
Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves — last 5 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Estudiantes de Resistencia | 1–0 | 2–10 |
| 2026-06-04 | A | D Parque Patricios | 1–1 | 9–5 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Deportivo Lujan | 0–2 | 6–5 |
| 2026-04-07 | H | W Independiente Tirol | 2–0 | 4–7 |
| 2025-10-15 | A | D Estudiantes de Resistencia | 3–3 | 4–11 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Defensores Puerto Vilelas vs Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves?
- Our model gives Defensores Puerto Vilelas a 53% chance, the draw 26% and Sarmiento de Resistencia Reserves 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.