Ecuador LigaPro Serie A
Delfin SC vs Orense Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
LIVE 14′ 1–0
Corners1–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target1–0
Shots off target1–1
Attacks17–12
Dangerous attacks7–3
Possession60%–40%
Predicted score
1-114%0-013%1-012%
Expected goals1.07 – 1.05
Avg goals2.12
Our pickHome
Delfin SC 35%
Draw 31%
Orense 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 35% | 2.84 | 2.60 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 69% | 1.45 | 1.37 |
| Goals | 2 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 57% | 1.76 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Away | 58% | 1.71 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 7.5 | Over +8% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.13 | 6.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.60 · Draw 3.00 · Away 2.88 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap 0 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 8 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.9
Delfin SC
8.2
Expected corners
4.3
Orense
Delfin SC corner stats · Orense corner stats
Corner line 7.50
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.2 corners here; Delfin SC are forecast for 3.9.
- Across 41 recent matches, Delfin SC games produced 8.90 corners on average — 3.34 taken by Delfin SC themselves.
- Delfin SC games clear the 9.5 corner line 41% of the time.
- Orense matches average 9.40 total corners (4.49 won per game) across their last 43 with corner data.
- Orense games clear the 9.5 corner line 42% of the time.
- Delfin SC matches average 1.78 goals, with both teams scoring in 24% of them.
- Games involving Orense produce 2.51 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 63%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 2.00 goals at 51% probability.
Delfin SC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | A | L LDU Quito | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | L Leones FC | 0–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Libertad FC | 0–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Macara | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Manta FC | 1–0 | 5–6 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Guayaquil City | 1–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | D Emelec | 1–1 | 7–6 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L Deportivo Cuenca | 0–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | L Barcelona Guayaquil | 1–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | D Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 2–2 | 1–7 |
Orense — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | A | L Libertad FC | 0–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-27 | H | L Independiente del Valle | 2–3 | 11–4 |
| 2026-07-24 | H | W SD Aucas | 2–1 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L Mushuc Runa | 1–2 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-17 | H | L Emelec | 0–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | D Manta FC | 0–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-07 | H | L Tecnico Universitario | 1–2 | 11–2 |
| 2026-07-02 | A | L LDU Quito | 0–3 | 1–7 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | L Vinotinto Ecuador | 1–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Universidad Catolica del Ecuador | 1–2 | 6–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Delfin SC vs Orense?
- Our model gives Delfin SC a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Orense 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Delfin SC vs Orense?
- The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 7.50 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.