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Chile Liga de Primera

Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad Catolica Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.21 – 1.63
Avg goals2.84
Our pickAway
Deportes Concepcion 27% Draw 27% Universidad Catolica 46%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 46% 2.17 2.00
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.37 1.26
Goals 2.5 Over 54% 1.85 1.85
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.74 1.73
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 54% 1.85 1.78
Corners 9.5 Under +7% Value 53% 1.90 2.03
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.89 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.40  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 2.5 Over 1.85  ·  Under 1.95
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03
Corners 9.5 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Deportes Concepcion
9.3 Expected corners
4.6 Universidad Catolica

Deportes Concepcion corner stats · Universidad Catolica corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 47% Under 53%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.3 corners in this match, with Deportes Concepcion winning 4.7 of them.
  • Across 53 recent matches, Deportes Concepcion games produced 9.43 corners on average — 4.64 taken by Deportes Concepcion themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 51% of Deportes Concepcion matches.
  • Universidad Catolica matches average 9.31 total corners (4.94 won per game) across their last 51 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of Universidad Catolica matches.
  • Games involving Deportes Concepcion produce 2.62 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 53%.
  • Universidad Catolica matches average 3.04 goals, with both teams scoring in 59% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (54%).

Deportes Concepcion — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W O'Higgins 2–0 4–4
2026-07-13 H W Puerto Montt 2–0 9–1
2026-07-07 H W Deportes Temuco 2–0 4–6
2026-07-03 A W Huachipato 2–1 2–4
2026-06-29 A L Puerto Montt 0–2 7–2
2026-06-25 A W Huachipato 3–2 1–6
2026-06-22 A D Deportes Temuco 1–1 7–5
2026-06-15 H W Deportes Limache 3–2 7–3
2026-06-06 H L Coquimbo Unido 1–2 8–3
2026-05-31 A L Universidad de Chile 1–2 1–8

Universidad Catolica — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H D La Serena 3–3 6–5
2026-07-12 A L San Luis Quillota 0–4 6–3
2026-07-05 H W Deportes Copiapo 2–1 11–1
2026-07-01 H W Everton de Vina 2–1 5–2
2026-06-28 H W San Luis Quillota 4–2 3–7
2026-06-24 A W Everton de Vina 3–1 2–3
2026-06-21 A W Deportes Copiapo 3–0 7–2
2026-06-15 H W Universidad de Concepcion 5–1 5–3
2026-06-07 H W Cobresal 5–1 7–7
2026-06-01 A W Huachipato 3–0 7–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad Catolica?
Our model gives Deportes Concepcion a 27% chance, the draw 27% and Universidad Catolica 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad Catolica?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.