MathPredictions
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Chile Primera B

Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.17 – 1.26
Avg goals2.43
Our pickAway
Deportes Recoleta 33% Draw 30% Puerto Montt 37%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 37% 2.69 2.80
Double chance – Home or away 70% 1.43 1.25
Goals 2.25 Over 51% 1.97 1.93
Both teams to score – Yes 51% 1.97 –
Asian handicap -0.25 Away +8% Value 61% 1.63 1.78
Corners 9.5 Over 57% 1.75 –
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.01 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.25  ·  Draw 3.20  ·  Away 2.80
Goals 2.25 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 2.03  ·  Away 1.78

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.4 Deportes Recoleta
10.1 Expected corners
4.7 Puerto Montt

Deportes Recoleta corner stats · Puerto Montt corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 57% Under 43%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 10.1 corners in this match, with Deportes Recoleta winning 5.4 of them.
  • Deportes Recoleta matches average 10.91 total corners (4.78 won per game) across their last 32 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 69% of Deportes Recoleta matches.
  • Puerto Montt win 4.19 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.26 over their last 31.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Puerto Montt matches.
  • Games involving Deportes Recoleta produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 50%.
  • Puerto Montt matches average 2.74 goals, with both teams scoring in 45% of them.
  • Across their previous 5 meetings, these sides averaged 2.4 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 5 meetings with corner data averaged 9.8 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (51%).

Deportes Recoleta — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A L Union Espanola 1–2 5–7
2026-07-07 A D Colo Colo 2–2 6–9
2026-06-29 A D O'Higgins 1–1 2–10
2026-06-21 H L Colo Colo 0–3 3–7
2026-06-07 A D Deportes Iquique 1–1 5–6
2026-05-31 H D San Luis Quillota 0–0 5–7
2026-05-22 H D Cobreloa 2–2 7–10
2026-05-17 A L Magallanes 2–3 6–4
2026-05-10 H W Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1–0 7–10
2026-05-05 A L San Marcos De Arica 0–1 4–9

Puerto Montt — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H W CD Antofagasta 3–2 5–6
2026-07-13 A L Deportes Concepcion 0–2 1–9
2026-07-06 H W Huachipato 2–1 2–1
2026-06-29 H W Deportes Concepcion 2–0 2–7
2026-06-22 A W Huachipato 2–0 6–8
2026-06-07 H D Cobreloa 1–1 9–1
2026-05-31 A L Union San Felipe 0–1 4–7
2026-05-25 H L San Marcos De Arica 0–2 3–0
2026-05-18 A L San Luis Quillota 1–4 3–8
2026-05-09 H W Magallanes 2–0 3–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt?
Our model gives Deportes Recoleta a 33% chance, the draw 30% and Puerto Montt 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Deportes Recoleta vs Puerto Montt?
The corner model projects 10.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.