Peru Liga 2
Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.68 – 0.96
Avg goals2.63
Our pickHome
Deportivo Llacuabamba 53%
Draw 27%
CD Universidad San Martin 20%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 53% | 1.88 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 80% | 1.26 | 1.08 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Under | 51% | 1.96 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away +11% Value | 61% | 1.63 | 1.88 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 56% | 1.78 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.89 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.53 · Draw 3.70 · Away 5.25 |
| Goals 2.5 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.93 · Away 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.3
Deportivo Llacuabamba
9.0
Expected corners
4.7
CD Universidad San Martin
Deportivo Llacuabamba corner stats · CD Universidad San Martin corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9 corners in this match, with Deportivo Llacuabamba winning 4.3 of them.
- Deportivo Llacuabamba win 3.80 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.00 over their last 15.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Deportivo Llacuabamba matches.
- Across 17 recent matches, CD Universidad San Martin games produced 9.41 corners on average — 5.71 taken by CD Universidad San Martin themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of CD Universidad San Martin matches.
- Games involving Deportivo Llacuabamba produce 2.40 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 40%.
- CD Universidad San Martin matches average 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 53% of them.
- Across their previous 8 meetings, these sides averaged 2.3 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 8 meetings with corner data averaged 9.6 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (51%).
Deportivo Llacuabamba — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Carlos Mannucci | 0–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | D FC Cajamarca | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-06-16 | H | D UTC Cajamarca | 2–2 | 3–2 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | L Pirata FC | 1–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-05-25 | H | W Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 3–0 | 4–7 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | D Union Comercio | 0–0 | 2–14 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | W Cesar Vallejo | 2–0 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | W Club Ada Jaen | 1–0 | 0–2 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | W CD Universidad San Martin | 1–0 | 2–6 |
| 2026-03-30 | H | W Carlos Mannucci | 3–0 | 2–6 |
CD Universidad San Martin — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Carlos Mannucci | 2–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | L Pirata FC | 2–3 | 8–7 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 3–4 | 2–3 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Sport Boys | 2–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Academia Deportiva Cantolao | 4–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | L Union Comercio | 0–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Cesar Vallejo | 1–0 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | D Club Ada Jaen | 2–2 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-19 | H | L Deportivo Llacuabamba | 0–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Carlos Mannucci | 1–2 | 10–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin?
- Our model gives Deportivo Llacuabamba a 53% chance, the draw 27% and CD Universidad San Martin 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Deportivo Llacuabamba vs CD Universidad San Martin?
- The corner model projects 9.0 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.