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Argentina Primera B Metropolitana

Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

LIVE 27′ 0–3

Corners1–0
Yellow cards0–0
Shots on target0–3
Shots off target4–0
Attacks64–39
Dangerous attacks38–16
Possession54%–46%
Predicted score 1-114%0-113%0-013%
Expected goals0.99 – 1.13
Avg goals2.12
Our pickAway
Deportivo Merlo 31% Draw 31% Sportivo Italiano 38%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 38% 2.62 2.15
Double chance – Home or away 69% 1.45 1.30
Goals 1.75 Over +7% Value 57% 1.75 1.93
Both teams to score – No 57% 1.75 1.44
Asian handicap 0 Away 55% 1.81 1.85
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.72 1.85
Correct score – 1-1 14% 7.16 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.30  ·  Draw 2.88  ·  Away 2.15
Goals 1.75 Over 1.93  ·  Under 1.88
Asian handicap 0.25 Home 1.95  ·  Away 1.85
Corners 8.5 Over 1.95  ·  Under 1.85

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Deportivo Merlo
8.9 Expected corners
3.9 Sportivo Italiano

Deportivo Merlo corner stats · Sportivo Italiano corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 8.9 corners here; Deportivo Merlo are forecast for 5.
  • Deportivo Merlo matches average 8.85 total corners (4.68 won per game) across their last 40 with corner data.
  • Deportivo Merlo games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
  • Sportivo Italiano win 4.51 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.88 over their last 43.
  • Sportivo Italiano games clear the 9.5 corner line 37% of the time.
  • Deportivo Merlo matches average 2.48 goals, with both teams scoring in 58% of them.
  • Games involving Sportivo Italiano produce 1.81 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 47%.
  • The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.6 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 11 across their last 10 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Over 1.75 goals at 57% probability.

Deportivo Merlo — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-03 A D San Martin De Burzaco 1–1 3–6
2026-07-26 H L Villa San Carlos 1–2 1–4
2026-07-19 A D Deportivo Liniers 1–1 4–5
2026-07-15 H W Real Pilar 3–2 0–6
2026-07-11 A D UAI Urquiza 0–0 2–6
2026-07-05 H L Villa Dalmine 1–2 8–1
2026-06-28 A L Excursionistas 0–5 1–4
2026-06-22 A L Arsenal de Sarandi 2–4 2–4
2026-06-15 H D Argentino Merlo 2–2 3–1
2026-06-06 A L Talleres Remedios 0–2 4–3

Sportivo Italiano — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-08-02 H L Deportivo Camioneros 1–2 6–3
2026-07-26 A D CA Ituzaingo 0–0 7–2
2026-07-19 A W San Martin De Burzaco 2–1 1–10
2026-07-15 H W Villa San Carlos 1–0 3–7
2026-07-11 A W Deportivo Liniers 1–0 4–3
2026-07-06 H D Real Pilar 1–1 5–7
2026-06-29 A D UAI Urquiza 0–0 8–6
2026-06-21 A L Villa Dalmine 1–2 4–3
2026-06-14 H L Excursionistas 0–1 9–6
2026-06-07 A W Arsenal de Sarandi 3–1 2–8

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
Our model gives Deportivo Merlo a 31% chance, the draw 31% and Sportivo Italiano 38%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Deportivo Merlo vs Sportivo Italiano?
The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.