MathPredictions
▾

Peru Liga 1

Deportivo Moquegua vs FBC Melgar Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.10 – 1.21
Avg goals2.32
Our pickAway
Deportivo Moquegua 32% Draw 31% FBC Melgar 37%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 37% 2.68 2.00
Double chance – Home or away 69% 1.45 1.30
Goals 2.25 Under 53% 1.90 1.98
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.93 1.83
Asian handicap 0.5 Home +11% Value 63% 1.60 1.78
Corners 8 Over 53% 1.90 1.90
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.89 6.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.70  ·  Draw 3.25  ·  Away 2.00
Goals 2.25 Over 1.83  ·  Under 1.98
Asian handicap 0.5 Home 1.78  ·  Away 2.03
Corners 8 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

3.4 Deportivo Moquegua
8.2 Expected corners
4.8 FBC Melgar

Deportivo Moquegua corner stats · FBC Melgar corner stats

Corner line 8.00
Over 53% Under 47%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.2 corners in this match, with Deportivo Moquegua winning 3.4 of them.
  • Across 22 recent matches, Deportivo Moquegua games produced 8.09 corners on average — 3.36 taken by Deportivo Moquegua themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 23% of Deportivo Moquegua matches.
  • FBC Melgar matches average 9.08 total corners (5.55 won per game) across their last 38 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 39% of FBC Melgar matches.
  • Games involving Deportivo Moquegua produce 2.27 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • FBC Melgar matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 68% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.25 (53%).

Deportivo Moquegua — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 A D UTC Cajamarca 0–0 1–7
2026-07-19 H D Comerciantes Unidos 2–2 5–3
2026-07-13 H D Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0 6–3
2026-06-30 A D FBC Melgar 0–0 5–10
2026-06-22 H W Bentin Tacna Heroica 3–2 2–6
2026-05-30 A L Atletico Grau 0–1 4–4
2026-05-24 H D Universitario de Deportes 0–0 3–3
2026-05-18 A L CD Los Chankas 0–1 6–5
2026-05-10 H D AD Tarma 2–2 3–0
2026-05-03 A L Alianza Lima 1–2 0–1

FBC Melgar — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Sporting Cristal 2–1 5–2
2026-07-18 A W Cienciano 3–1 4–2
2026-06-30 H D Deportivo Moquegua 0–0 10–5
2026-06-13 A L Bentin Tacna Heroica 2–3 8–1
2026-06-01 H W Alianza Atletico 3–1 5–1
2026-05-23 A D Juan Pablo II College 1–1 4–6
2026-05-17 H W Sport Huancayo 4–1 5–3
2026-05-11 A D Comerciantes Unidos 1–1 3–3
2026-05-04 H W UTC Cajamarca 2–0 11–1
2026-04-28 A L Deportivo Garcilaso 0–1 2–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Deportivo Moquegua vs FBC Melgar?
Our model gives Deportivo Moquegua a 32% chance, the draw 31% and FBC Melgar 37%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Deportivo Moquegua vs FBC Melgar?
The corner model projects 8.2 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 53% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.