Colombia Primera A
Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.61 – 0.99
Avg goals2.59
Our pickHome
Deportivo Pasto 51%
Draw 27%
Aguilas Doradas 22%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 78% | 1.28 | 1.19 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over +8% Value | 55% | 1.81 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 51% | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 1.85 |
| Corners | 8.5 | Under +7% Value | 56% | 1.77 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.68 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.85 · Draw 3.30 · Away 4.50 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.85 · Away 1.95 |
| Corners 8.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.7
Deportivo Pasto
8.0
Expected corners
3.3
Aguilas Doradas
Deportivo Pasto corner stats · Aguilas Doradas corner stats
Corner line 8.50
Over 44%
Under 56%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8 corners here; Deportivo Pasto are forecast for 4.7.
- Deportivo Pasto matches average 7.77 total corners (3.75 won per game) across their last 44 with corner data.
- Deportivo Pasto games clear the 9.5 corner line 25% of the time.
- Aguilas Doradas win 4.33 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.83 over their last 40.
- Aguilas Doradas games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Deportivo Pasto matches average 2.66 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Games involving Aguilas Doradas produce 2.68 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 65%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2.6 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.7 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.25 goals at 55% probability.
Deportivo Pasto — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | A | W Bogota FC | 3–0 | 0–6 |
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Independiente Medellin | 2–3 | 4–4 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | L Bogota FC | 0–1 | 8–1 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | L Deportes Tolima | 0–2 | 9–2 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | L Deportes Tolima | 0–1 | 6–6 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L Junior | 3–4 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | L Independiente Santa Fe | 1–2 | 6–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | W Jaguares de Cordoba | 3–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | W Deportes Tolima | 1–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-02 | A | D Alianza | 0–0 | 5–7 |
Aguilas Doradas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | H | W Independiente Santa Fe | 2–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-05-27 | A | D Real Soacha Cundinamarca | 2–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-22 | H | D Deportivo Pereira | 1–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-18 | A | W Independiente Yumbo | 4–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | D Jaguares de Cordoba | 0–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | W Independiente Medellin | 2–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | D Once Caldas | 2–2 | 4–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L Fortaleza CEIF | 0–2 | 2–5 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | L Junior | 0–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-04-08 | H | W Atletico Bucaramanga | 2–1 | 1–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas?
- Our model gives Deportivo Pasto a 51% chance, the draw 27% and Aguilas Doradas 22%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Deportivo Pasto vs Aguilas Doradas?
- The corner model projects 8.0 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 44% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.