Paraguay Women League
Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-2
Expected goals1.10 – 2.82
Avg goals3.92
Our pickAway
Deportivo Recoleta (W) 11%
Draw 16%
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 72%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 89% | 1.13 | 1.06 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 75% | 1.33 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 63% | 1.58 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-2 | 9% | 11.52 | – |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 6.00 · Draw 4.75 · Away 1.36 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
2.7
Deportivo Recoleta (W)
9.6
Expected corners
6.9
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)
Deportivo Recoleta (W) corner stats · Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.6 corners in this match, with Deportivo Recoleta (W) winning 2.7 of them.
- Across 16 recent matches, Deportivo Recoleta (W) games produced 9.00 corners on average — 1.94 taken by Deportivo Recoleta (W) themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 50% of Deportivo Recoleta (W) matches.
- Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) matches average 8.91 total corners (4.64 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) matches.
- Games involving Deportivo Recoleta (W) produce 3.44 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
- Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) matches average 5.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 73% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (75%).
Deportivo Recoleta (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | L Libertad Asuncion (W) | 0–4 | 0–8 |
| 2026-07-20 | H | D Rubio Nu (W) | 1–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0–3 | 3–8 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | D Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 0–0 | 6–8 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Universidad de Chile (W) | 1–6 | 0–9 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L Guarani Asuncion (W) | 0–1 | 1–9 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 6–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | L Cerro Porteno (W) | 0–7 | 0–11 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Nacional-Humaita (W) | 2–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-04 | A | L 2 de Mayo (W) | 1–2 | 0–5 |
Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Sportivo Ameliano (W) | 6–2 | 11–7 |
| 2026-07-21 | A | D Cerro Porteno (W) | 2–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-07-06 | H | W Nacional-Humaita (W) | 4–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-06-29 | H | W 2 de Mayo (W) | 3–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Sportivo Luqueno (W) | 6–1 | 2–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | L Olimpia Asuncion (W) | 0–7 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Libertad Asuncion (W) | 1–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Rubio Nu (W) | 5–0 | 6–2 |
| 2026-05-03 | H | L Sportivo Trinidense (W) | 1–4 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-26 | A | L Club Guarani (W) | 2–3 | 2–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)?
- Our model gives Deportivo Recoleta (W) a 11% chance, the draw 16% and Sportivo San Lorenzo (W) 72%. The most likely score is 1-2.
- How many corners are expected in Deportivo Recoleta (W) vs Sportivo San Lorenzo (W)?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.