MathPredictions
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Brazil Copa Sergipe

Desportiva Aracaju vs America SE Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.75 – 0.85
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Desportiva Aracaju 58% Draw 26% America SE 17%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 58% 1.74 1.40
Double chance – Home or draw 83% 1.20 1.03
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.90
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.94 –
Correct score – 1-1 12% 8.22 9.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.40  ·  Draw 3.90  ·  Away 8.00
Goals 2 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Desportiva Aracaju matches average 9.00 total corners (4.91 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 36% of Desportiva Aracaju matches.
  • America SE win 3.22 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.89 over their last 18.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 44% of America SE matches.
  • Games involving Desportiva Aracaju produce 2.36 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
  • America SE matches average 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.50 (52%).

Desportiva Aracaju — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 A D Atletico Gloriense 0–0 7–4
2026-02-09 A L AA Guarany 1–2 5–4
2026-02-05 H L Sergipe 0–2 4–4
2026-01-26 A L Itabaiana 1–2 3–12
2026-01-19 A D Atletico Gloriense 1–1 0–8
2026-01-11 H L Confianca 0–3 8–4
2025-10-26 H W Atletico Gloriense 2–1 3–2
2025-10-16 H W Rosario Central Sergipe 3–0 7–1
2025-10-10 A W Flamengo SE 1–0 5–2
2025-09-21 A D Olimpico EC Itabaianinha 1–1 9–2

America SE — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H L Lagarto 0–1 3–3
2026-03-09 A L Itabaiana 0–1 1–6
2026-03-02 A D Sergipe 1–1 1–2
2026-02-27 H D Sergipe 1–1 2–4
2026-02-23 A W Lagarto 3–0 4–10
2026-02-19 H D CEFAT Tirol 1–1 4–3
2026-02-15 A D Confianca 0–0 3–9
2026-02-12 H L Itabaiana 0–3 2–8
2026-02-08 H W Falcon 2–1 7–5
2026-02-05 A D Lagarto 0–0 2–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Desportiva Aracaju vs America SE?
Our model gives Desportiva Aracaju a 58% chance, the draw 26% and America SE 17%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.