Croatia HNL
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.86 – 0.82
Avg goals3.68
Our pickHome
Dinamo Zagreb 79%
Draw 14%
Slaven Belupo 7%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 79% | 1.27 | 1.22 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 93% | 1.08 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 3.25 | Over | 56% | 1.79 | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 53% | 1.88 | 1.83 |
| Asian handicap | -1.75 | Home | 55% | 1.83 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 54% | 1.86 | 1.95 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +426% Value | 10% | 9.69 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.22 · Draw 5.75 · Away 9.00 |
| Goals 3.25 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1.75 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.2
Dinamo Zagreb
9.2
Expected corners
3.0
Slaven Belupo
Dinamo Zagreb corner stats · Slaven Belupo corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 46%
Under 54%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.2 corners here; Dinamo Zagreb are forecast for 6.2.
- Dinamo Zagreb matches average 9.57 total corners (6.19 won per game) across their last 54 with corner data.
- Dinamo Zagreb games clear the 9.5 corner line 46% of the time.
- Slaven Belupo win 4.18 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.18 over their last 51.
- Slaven Belupo games clear the 9.5 corner line 27% of the time.
- Dinamo Zagreb matches average 3.56 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Games involving Slaven Belupo produce 3.18 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 67%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 9.1 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.25 goals at 56% probability.
Dinamo Zagreb — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | D FC Thun | 2–2 | 11–1 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | D FC Thun | 1–1 | 5–9 |
| 2026-07-09 | H | W FC Koper | 4–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | W NK Radomlje | 3–0 | 12–0 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | D NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 0–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-17 | A | W Slaven Belupo | 4–1 | 1–5 |
| 2026-05-14 | H | W HNK Rijeka | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Hajduk Split | 2–0 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W HNK Gorica | 2–1 | 8–8 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | W NK Varazdin | 2–1 | 10–4 |
Slaven Belupo — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | W NK Sesvete | 4–0 | 7–0 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | D Shakhtar Donetsk | 2–2 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Paksi | 3–5 | 6–8 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1–3 | 1–3 |
| 2026-07-10 | H | L Debreceni VSC | 0–1 | 13–3 |
| 2026-07-08 | H | W FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc | 3–1 | 9–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Zalaegerszegi TE | 2–3 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L NK Osijek | 0–2 | 2–16 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Dinamo Zagreb | 1–4 | 5–1 |
| 2026-05-11 | H | W HNK Gorica | 1–0 | 2–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?
- Our model gives Dinamo Zagreb a 79% chance, the draw 14% and Slaven Belupo 7%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo?
- The corner model projects 9.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 46% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.