Nicaragua Apertura
Diriangen vs UNAN Managua Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-0
Expected goals2.50 – 0.90
Avg goals3.39
Our pickHome
Diriangen 71%
Draw 18%
UNAN Managua 11%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 71% | 1.40 | 1.36 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 89% | 1.12 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 3 | Over | 56% | 1.77 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 55% | 1.81 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1.5 | Home | 50% | 1.99 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 53% | 1.90 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 2-0 +255% Value | 10% | 9.57 | 29.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.36 · Draw 5.50 · Away 5.00 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
| Asian handicap -1.5 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.1
Diriangen
9.8
Expected corners
2.7
UNAN Managua
Diriangen corner stats · UNAN Managua corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 53%
Under 47%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 9.8 corners here; Diriangen are forecast for 7.1.
- Diriangen matches average 8.20 total corners (4.63 won per game) across their last 41 with corner data.
- Diriangen games clear the 9.5 corner line 27% of the time.
- UNAN Managua win 3.17 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.17 over their last 29.
- UNAN Managua games clear the 9.5 corner line 52% of the time.
- Diriangen matches average 3.05 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
- Games involving UNAN Managua produce 3.17 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 59%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.3 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 3.00 goals at 56% probability.
Diriangen — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Plaza Amador | 4–2 | 2–13 |
| 2026-07-24 | A | W CD Walter Ferretti | 3–1 | 3–5 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D San Marcos FC | 1–1 | 2–1 |
| 2026-07-13 | A | D HYH Export Sebaco FC | 1–1 | 9–7 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L HYH Export Sebaco FC | 1–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D Real Esteli | 1–1 | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | D Real Esteli | 1–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | W Matagalpa FC | 3–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-04-17 | A | W HYH Export Sebaco FC | 2–0 | 0–3 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | W Real Esteli | 1–0 | 4–3 |
UNAN Managua — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | W Rancho Santana FC | 2–0 | 1–8 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | D Real Esteli | 1–1 | 2–9 |
| 2026-05-24 | H | W Matiguas FC | 2–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-13 | A | L Real Madriz FC | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-09 | H | L Jalapa | 2–4 | 4–6 |
| 2026-03-19 | A | L Managua FC | 1–2 | 3–5 |
| 2026-03-08 | H | W Matagalpa FC | 2–1 | 3–12 |
| 2026-03-05 | H | L Diriangen | 1–2 | 1–10 |
| 2026-03-02 | H | L Real Esteli | 0–3 | 4–13 |
| 2026-02-27 | A | L CD Walter Ferretti | 0–2 | 4–1 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Diriangen vs UNAN Managua?
- Our model gives Diriangen a 71% chance, the draw 18% and UNAN Managua 11%. The most likely score is 2-0.
- How many corners are expected in Diriangen vs UNAN Managua?
- The corner model projects 9.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 53% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.