UK Friendlies
Dover vs Carshalton Ath Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.48 – 1.33
Avg goals2.80
Our pickHome
Dover 40%
Draw 28%
Carshalton Ath 33%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 40% | 2.53 | 1.57 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.38 | 1.15 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 53% | 1.88 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 58% | 1.73 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 63% | 1.60 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.66 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.57 · Draw 4.00 · Away 4.33 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.3
Dover
8.4
Expected corners
5.2
Carshalton Ath
Dover corner stats · Carshalton Ath corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 37%
Under 63%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.4 corners here; Dover are forecast for 3.3.
- Dover matches average 9.96 total corners (4.24 won per game) across their last 50 with corner data.
- Dover games clear the 9.5 corner line 50% of the time.
- Carshalton Ath win 5.40 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.65 over their last 20.
- Carshalton Ath games clear the 9.5 corner line 30% of the time.
- Dover matches average 2.92 goals, with both teams scoring in 66% of them.
- Games involving Carshalton Ath produce 3.05 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 70%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 53% probability.
Dover — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | H | W Burgess Hill Town | 1–0 | 8–0 |
| 2026-07-22 | H | W Deal Town | 2–1 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Chesham | 2–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Maidenhead Utd | 0–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Farnborough | 1–3 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Ebbsfleet United | 0–4 | 1–9 |
| 2026-04-03 | H | L Maidstone Utd | 0–2 | 2–3 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | L Salisbury | 1–2 | 9–6 |
| 2026-03-25 | A | L Enfield Town | 1–3 | 7–4 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | W Chelmsford | 2–1 | 7–6 |
Carshalton Ath — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Hanworth Villa | 1–2 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Hampton & Richmond | 0–1 | 3–0 |
| 2026-04-06 | A | L Dulwich | 1–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Dartford | 2–2 | 9–6 |
| 2026-03-07 | H | W Canvey Island | 3–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-02-25 | A | L Welling | 1–2 | 8–1 |
| 2026-02-21 | H | L Ramsgate | 1–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-01-31 | H | D Whitehawk | 2–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-01-13 | H | D Cheshunt | 3–3 | 6–3 |
| 2025-12-20 | A | L Billericay | 0–1 | 6–12 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Dover vs Carshalton Ath?
- Our model gives Dover a 40% chance, the draw 28% and Carshalton Ath 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Dover vs Carshalton Ath?
- The corner model projects 8.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 37% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.