Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.01 – 1.46
Avg goals2.47
Our pickAway
Drogheda United 25%
Draw 29%
Shamrock Rovers 46%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 46% | 2.16 | 1.85 |
| Double chance | – | Draw or away | 75% | 1.33 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.25 | Over | 52% | 1.92 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 50% | 2.00 | 1.91 |
| Asian handicap | 0.5 | Home | 54% | 1.86 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under +6% Value | 57% | 1.74 | 1.85 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.29 | 6.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 4.00 · Draw 3.25 · Away 1.85 |
| Goals 2.25 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap 0.5 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.95 · Under 1.85 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
3.8
Drogheda United
8.9
Expected corners
5.1
Shamrock Rovers
Drogheda United corner stats · Shamrock Rovers corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 43%
Under 57%
Match trends
- Our model projects 8.9 corners in this match, with Drogheda United winning 3.8 of them.
- Drogheda United win 4.57 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.09 over their last 44.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Drogheda United matches.
- Across 61 recent matches, Shamrock Rovers games produced 8.44 corners on average — 4.67 taken by Shamrock Rovers themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 30% of Shamrock Rovers matches.
- Games involving Drogheda United produce 2.64 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 61%.
- Shamrock Rovers matches average 2.54 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.1 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.5 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.25 (52%).
Drogheda United — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D Sligo Rovers | 2–2 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Lucan United | 4–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | W Dundalk | 2–1 | 5–10 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Bohemians Dublin | 0–2 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | L Derry City | 0–2 | 5–7 |
| 2026-06-20 | H | D Shelbourne | 2–2 | 2–1 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L St Patrick's Athletic | 0–2 | 3–12 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | D Waterford FC | 3–3 | 2–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | D Dundalk | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-19 | A | L Waterford FC | 1–2 | 4–4 |
Shamrock Rovers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 | H | W Ararat Armenia | 2–1 | 7–2 |
| 2026-07-22 | A | L Ararat Armenia | 0–2 | 7–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | D Cork City | 1–1 | 9–4 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Floriana | 5–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-07-08 | A | L Floriana | 0–2 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Sligo Rovers | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-07-01 | H | W Hibernian | 1–0 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | W Galway United | 3–1 | 2–5 |
| 2026-06-23 | H | D Derry City | 1–1 | 6–2 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Waterford FC | 2–0 | 5–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
- Our model gives Drogheda United a 25% chance, the draw 29% and Shamrock Rovers 46%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Drogheda United vs Shamrock Rovers?
- The corner model projects 8.9 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 43% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.