Republic of Ireland Premier Division
Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.00 – 1.05
Avg goals3.05
Our pickHome
Dundalk 58%
Draw 23%
Sligo Rovers 18%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 58% | 1.72 | 1.42 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 82% | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Goals | 3 | Under | 53% | 1.89 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.75 | 1.75 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +12% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 11 | Over +12% Value | 60% | 1.67 | 1.90 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.13 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.42 · Draw 4.20 · Away 6.25 |
| Goals 3 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 2.00 · Away 1.80 |
| Corners 11 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.9
Dundalk
11.9
Expected corners
3.9
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk corner stats · Sligo Rovers corner stats
Corner line 11.00
Over 60%
Under 40%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.9 corners here; Dundalk are forecast for 7.9.
- Dundalk win 6.07 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.50 over their last 42.
- Dundalk games clear the 9.5 corner line 67% of the time.
- Across 44 recent matches, Sligo Rovers games produced 10.82 corners on average — 4.39 taken by Sligo Rovers themselves.
- Sligo Rovers games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Dundalk matches average 3.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 69% of them.
- Games involving Sligo Rovers produce 2.52 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The last 10 head-to-head meetings averaged 2 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 10.2 across their last 10 direct meetings.
- The model leans Under 3.00 goals at 53% probability.
Dundalk — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | D St Patrick's Athletic | 1–1 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W St Mochtas | 3–1 | 10–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Drogheda United | 1–2 | 10–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Shelbourne | 1–2 | 5–1 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Waterford FC | 2–3 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | W Bohemians Dublin | 2–1 | 4–7 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | W Galway United | 1–0 | 9–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Derry City | 2–1 | 6–5 |
| 2026-05-27 | H | L St Patrick's Athletic | 0–1 | 7–8 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | D Drogheda United | 1–1 | 2–4 |
Sligo Rovers — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Drogheda United | 2–2 | 4–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Janesboro FC | 4–0 | 9–0 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Coleraine | 1–2 | 3–6 |
| 2026-07-12 | A | L Galway United | 2–3 | 0–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Shamrock Rovers | 1–2 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | D Shelbourne | 2–2 | 3–14 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L St Patrick's Athletic | 0–2 | 7–14 |
| 2026-06-13 | A | L Waterford FC | 0–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | L Bohemians Dublin | 1–3 | 2–12 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Shamrock Rovers | 2–1 | 4–3 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
- Our model gives Dundalk a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Sligo Rovers 18%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers?
- The corner model projects 11.9 total corners. Over 11.00 corners is rated at 60% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.