New Zealand Southern League
Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.34 – 1.38
Avg goals3.72
Our pickHome
Dunedin City Royals FC 58%
Draw 21%
Wanaka AFC 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 58% | 1.72 | 1.48 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 79% | 1.26 | 1.09 |
| Goals | 3.75 | Under +5% Value | 54% | 1.84 | 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 68% | 1.46 | – |
| Asian handicap | -1 | Away | 53% | 1.90 | 1.83 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 70% | 1.42 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 +37% Value | 9% | 10.92 | 17.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.48 · Draw 5.25 · Away 4.10 |
| Goals 3.75 | Over 1.85 · Under 1.95 |
| Asian handicap -1.25 | Home 1.98 · Away 1.83 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
7.3
Dunedin City Royals FC
11.6
Expected corners
4.3
Wanaka AFC
Dunedin City Royals FC corner stats · Wanaka AFC corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 70%
Under 30%
Match trends
- Our model projects 11.6 corners in this match, with Dunedin City Royals FC winning 7.3 of them.
- Dunedin City Royals FC win 5.07 corners per game, with match totals averaging 12.36 over their last 14.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 86% of Dunedin City Royals FC matches.
- Across 14 recent matches, Wanaka AFC games produced 10.64 corners on average — 3.00 taken by Wanaka AFC themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 57% of Wanaka AFC matches.
- Games involving Dunedin City Royals FC produce 3.64 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- Wanaka AFC matches average 4.71 goals, with both teams scoring in 64% of them.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.75 (54%).
Dunedin City Royals FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Nomads United | 0–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Selwyn United | 2–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | L Nelson Suburbs | 1–4 | 3–5 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Coastal Spirit | 0–2 | 4–10 |
| 2026-04-27 | H | L Ferrymead Bays | 0–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Nomads United | 0–2 | 8–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Selwyn United | 0–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-05 | A | L Nelson Suburbs | 1–4 | 2–8 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Coastal Spirit | 3–3 | 3–8 |
| 2025-08-31 | A | D Cashmere Technical | 3–3 | 6–12 |
Wanaka AFC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | H | D Northern AFC | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-06-20 | A | L Nelson Suburbs | 0–6 | 4–17 |
| 2026-06-06 | A | L Ferrymead Bays | 0–5 | 5–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | A | L Northern AFC | 0–3 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-23 | H | L Nomads United | 0–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-05-16 | A | L Selwyn United | 1–2 | 3–12 |
| 2026-04-27 | A | L Coastal Spirit | 2–4 | 2–17 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L Christchurch United | 2–4 | 6–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Cashmere Technical | 0–9 | 2–9 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | W Nelson Suburbs | 3–1 | 3–4 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC?
- Our model gives Dunedin City Royals FC a 58% chance, the draw 21% and Wanaka AFC 21%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in Dunedin City Royals FC vs Wanaka AFC?
- The corner model projects 11.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 70% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.