MathPredictions
▾

New Zealand Northern League

East Coast Bays vs Melville United Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 2-0
Expected goals2.67 – 0.96
Avg goals3.63
Our pickHome
East Coast Bays 73% Draw 17% Melville United 10%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 73% 1.37 1.30
Double chance – Home or draw 90% 1.12 1.04
Goals 3.5 Under 51% 1.96 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.72 –
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 53% 1.90 1.80
Corners 9.5 Under 53% 1.90 –
Correct score – 2-0 +289% Value 9% 10.55 41.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.30  ·  Draw 5.25  ·  Away 6.50
Goals 3.5 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -1.5 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.5 East Coast Bays
9.3 Expected corners
3.8 Melville United

East Coast Bays corner stats · Melville United corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 47% Under 53%

Match trends

  • The corner model expects around 9.3 corners here; East Coast Bays are forecast for 5.5.
  • Across 21 recent matches, East Coast Bays games produced 10.14 corners on average — 4.52 taken by East Coast Bays themselves.
  • East Coast Bays games clear the 9.5 corner line 57% of the time.
  • Melville United matches average 9.06 total corners (3.17 won per game) across their last 18 with corner data.
  • Melville United games clear the 9.5 corner line 44% of the time.
  • East Coast Bays matches average 3.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 52% of them.
  • Games involving Melville United produce 3.11 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 44%.
  • The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.5 goals per game.
  • Corners have averaged 13 across their last 4 direct meetings.
  • The model leans Under 3.50 goals at 51% probability.

East Coast Bays — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 H W Auckland City 4–3 3–8
2026-07-18 H D Bay Olympic 2–2 3–4
2026-07-11 A L Fencibles United 2–3 3–3
2026-06-27 H W Tauranga City AFC 2–1 3–5
2026-06-20 A W Manukau United 2–0 9–1
2026-06-13 A L Auckland City 1–2 3–8
2026-06-06 H D Western Springs AFC 2–2 5–9
2026-05-28 A L Birkenhead United 1–3 3–9
2026-05-23 A L Auckland United FC 0–3 4–4
2026-05-09 A L Auckland City 0–1 2–12

Melville United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-18 A L Birkenhead United 1–4 3–8
2026-07-11 H D Bay Olympic 1–1 4–7
2026-07-04 H L Hibiscus Coast 0–1 1–2
2026-06-27 A L Auckland United FC 0–3 4–9
2026-06-20 H L Fencibles United 2–3 4–3
2026-06-06 A L Eastern Suburbs Auckland 0–4 5–11
2026-06-01 A D Eastern Suburbs Auckland 0–0 1–3
2026-05-28 H L Tauranga City AFC 0–1 1–10
2026-05-23 A L Auckland City 0–4 4–2
2026-05-16 H W Manukau United 2–0 3–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win East Coast Bays vs Melville United?
Our model gives East Coast Bays a 73% chance, the draw 17% and Melville United 10%. The most likely score is 2-0.
How many corners are expected in East Coast Bays vs Melville United?
The corner model projects 9.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 47% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.