Scotland League One
East Kilbride vs Queen of South Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals2.01 – 1.40
Avg goals3.40
Our pickHome
East Kilbride 51%
Draw 23%
Queen of South 26%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.97 | 1.45 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 77% | 1.31 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 3 | Over +11% Value | 57% | 1.77 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes +19% Value | 66% | 1.51 | 1.80 |
| Asian handicap | -1.25 | Away +16% Value | 66% | 1.51 | 1.98 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 51% | 1.95 | 2.00 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 10% | 9.76 | 8.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.45 · Draw 3.90 · Away 5.75 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -1 | Home 1.83 · Away 1.98 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 2.00 · Under 1.80 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.3
East Kilbride
9.6
Expected corners
3.3
Queen of South
East Kilbride corner stats · Queen of South corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.6 corners in this match, with East Kilbride winning 6.3 of them.
- East Kilbride win 5.96 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.02 over their last 47.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 55% of East Kilbride matches.
- Across 53 recent matches, Queen of South games produced 9.30 corners on average — 3.96 taken by Queen of South themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 40% of Queen of South matches.
- Games involving East Kilbride produce 3.72 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 64%.
- Queen of South matches average 3.02 goals, with both teams scoring in 70% of them.
- Across their previous 4 meetings, these sides averaged 2.5 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 4 meetings with corner data averaged 8.3 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 3.00 (57%).
East Kilbride — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A | L St Mirren | 3–4 | 3–4 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | W Dumbarton | 5–3 | 8–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | L Cove Rangers | 2–3 | 8–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | W Dunfermline | 3–0 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Clyde | 5–0 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Dumbarton | 1–0 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Edinburgh City | 4–0 | 12–0 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | L Forfar | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | W Annan Athletic | 2–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | A | D Spartans FC | 1–1 | 4–6 |
Queen of South — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Queen's Park | 1–3 | 2–4 |
| 2026-07-23 | H | L Aberdeen | 1–4 | 1–16 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | W Brora Rangers FC | 3–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | D Kelty Hearts | 1–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | L Crusaders | 1–2 | 5–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | H | L Connah's Quay | 0–1 | 0–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Stenhousemuir | 1–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-05-06 | H | D Stenhousemuir | 1–1 | 11–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W Alloa | 4–1 | 2–10 |
| 2026-04-25 | H | D Montrose | 2–2 | 2–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win East Kilbride vs Queen of South?
- Our model gives East Kilbride a 51% chance, the draw 23% and Queen of South 26%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in East Kilbride vs Queen of South?
- The corner model projects 9.6 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.