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UK Friendlies

Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.41 – 1.50
Avg goals2.91
Our pickAway
Ebbsfleet United 34% Draw 27% Gillingham 39%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 39% 2.60 1.70
Double chance – Home or away 73% 1.37 1.16
Goals 3 Under +7% Value 57% 1.75 2.00
Both teams to score – Yes 60% 1.67 –
Asian handicap 0.75 Home +20% Value 68% 1.47 1.85
Corners 8.5 Under 52% 1.93 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 +8% Value 13% 7.88 8.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 3.60  ·  Draw 4.00  ·  Away 1.70
Goals 3 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0.75 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 8.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.8 Ebbsfleet United
8.3 Expected corners
3.6 Gillingham

Ebbsfleet United corner stats · Gillingham corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 48% Under 52%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.3 corners in this match, with Ebbsfleet United winning 4.8 of them.
  • Ebbsfleet United win 6.27 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.89 over their last 56.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Ebbsfleet United matches.
  • Across 53 recent matches, Gillingham games produced 9.40 corners on average — 4.87 taken by Gillingham themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 43% of Gillingham matches.
  • Games involving Ebbsfleet United produce 2.79 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 55%.
  • Gillingham matches average 2.68 goals, with both teams scoring in 55% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 3.00 (57%).

Ebbsfleet United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 H D Cardiff Met Uni 1–1 5–0
2026-07-22 H L West Ham U21 1–2 8–2
2026-07-08 A L Dartford 1–2 3–2
2026-07-04 A D Canvey Island 0–0 13–2
2026-04-25 A L Worthing 0–2 4–3
2026-04-18 H W Hampton & Richmond 4–0 4–1
2026-04-11 A L Hornchurch FC 0–1 6–8
2026-04-06 H W Dover 4–0 9–1
2026-04-03 A W Tonbridge Angels 2–1 4–5
2026-03-28 H W Slough 2–1 8–3

Gillingham — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-22 H W Millwall 1–0 3–6
2026-07-18 H L Charlton 0–1 1–4
2026-05-02 H W Shrewsbury 1–0 2–5
2026-04-25 A L Barnet 2–6 3–9
2026-04-18 H L Grimsby 1–4 5–3
2026-04-15 A L Cheltenham 1–2 4–8
2026-04-11 A D Salford City 0–0 5–3
2026-04-06 H W Accrington Stanley 2–0 6–2
2026-04-03 A D Walsall 2–2 3–5
2026-03-28 A L Crawley Town 0–2 7–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham?
Our model gives Ebbsfleet United a 34% chance, the draw 27% and Gillingham 39%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Ebbsfleet United vs Gillingham?
The corner model projects 8.3 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 48% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.