Scotland League Two
Edinburgh City vs Elgin Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.52 – 1.34
Avg goals2.85
Our pickHome
Edinburgh City 41%
Draw 27%
Elgin 32%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 41% | 2.47 | 1.83 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.37 | 1.18 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Under | 51% | 1.94 | 1.88 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.70 | 1.67 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Away +15% Value | 60% | 1.68 | 1.93 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 52% | 1.93 | 1.88 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.78 | 8.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.83 · Draw 3.80 · Away 3.30 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
| Asian handicap -0.5 | Home 1.88 · Away 1.93 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.88 · Under 1.93 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.6
Edinburgh City
9.7
Expected corners
5.1
Elgin
Edinburgh City corner stats · Elgin corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 52%
Under 48%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.7 corners in this match, with Edinburgh City winning 4.6 of them.
- Edinburgh City win 3.88 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.40 over their last 50.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 52% of Edinburgh City matches.
- Across 52 recent matches, Elgin games produced 10.58 corners on average — 5.35 taken by Elgin themselves.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 60% of Elgin matches.
- Games involving Edinburgh City produce 3.10 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 54%.
- Elgin matches average 3.13 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 3.4 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 9 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 2.75 (51%).
Edinburgh City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 | A | W Stranraer | 2–0 | 7–3 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Ayr | 0–2 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Alloa | 2–0 | 4–6 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Falkirk | 0–5 | 3–2 |
| 2026-07-01 | A | L Raith | 0–4 | 0–9 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W Brora Rangers FC | 2–0 | 1–4 |
| 2026-05-09 | A | D Brora Rangers FC | 1–1 | 5–5 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Forfar | 0–4 | 2–8 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | L East Kilbride | 0–4 | 0–12 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Clyde | 0–2 | 3–5 |
Elgin — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | L Hamilton | 0–5 | 3–9 |
| 2026-07-18 | H | L Kilmarnock | 0–1 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | L Peterhead | 1–3 | 6–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | L Raith | 1–3 | 1–5 |
| 2026-06-27 | A | D Airdrieonians | 1–1 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Stranraer | 0–1 | 5–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Spartans FC | 1–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-18 | A | D Stirling | 2–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-04-11 | H | L Annan Athletic | 0–3 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | A | L Forfar | 1–2 | 4–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Edinburgh City vs Elgin?
- Our model gives Edinburgh City a 41% chance, the draw 27% and Elgin 32%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Edinburgh City vs Elgin?
- The corner model projects 9.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 52% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.