MathPredictions
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Africa Cup of Nations Qualifiers Women

Egypt (W) vs Malawi (W) Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-2
Expected goals1.20 – 2.22
Avg goals3.42
Our pickAway
Egypt (W) 19% Draw 22% Malawi (W) 60%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Away 60% 1.68 1.48
Double chance – Draw or away 81% 1.23 1.10
Goals 3.25 Under 50% 2.00 1.90
Both teams to score – Yes 63% 1.58 –
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 57% 1.75 1.80
Correct score – 1-2 10% 10.33 –

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 4.75  ·  Draw 4.33  ·  Away 1.48
Goals 3.25 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap 1.25 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Across 8 recent matches, Egypt (W) games produced 5.63 corners on average — 1.75 taken by Egypt (W) themselves.
  • Egypt (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 0% of the time.
  • Malawi (W) matches average 8.36 total corners (5.36 won per game) across their last 11 with corner data.
  • Malawi (W) games clear the 9.5 corner line 27% of the time.
  • Egypt (W) matches average 3.38 goals, with both teams scoring in 38% of them.
  • Games involving Malawi (W) produce 3.27 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 36%.
  • The model leans Under 3.25 goals at 50% probability.

Egypt (W) — last 8 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L Zambia (W) 0–6 0–8
2026-07-12 H W Senegal (W) 1–0 1–1
2026-06-09 H D Tunisia (W) 2–2 4–2
2026-06-06 H D Tunisia (W) 1–1 1–3
2026-04-19 A W Saudi Arabia (W) 2–0 2–3
2026-03-03 H L Algeria (W) 2–3 3–6
2025-10-28 A L Ghana (W) 0–4 1–5
2025-10-24 H L Ghana (W) 0–3 2–3

Malawi (W) — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A W Nigeria (W) 3–2 5–4
2026-06-06 A D Tanzania (W) 0–0 9–6
2026-06-03 A L Tanzania (W) 0–1 9–3
2026-04-15 A L India (W) 2–3 8–2
2026-04-11 A L Australia (W) 0–5 2–4
2026-02-24 A W Angola (W) 1–0 1–0
2026-02-21 H W Lesotho (W) 8–1 8–1
2026-02-18 A L South Africa (W) 0–2 1–6
2025-11-28 H L Zimbabwe (W) 1–2 6–2
2025-10-28 H W Angola (W) 2–0 5–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Egypt (W) vs Malawi (W)?
Our model gives Egypt (W) a 19% chance, the draw 22% and Malawi (W) 60%. The most likely score is 1-2.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.