MathPredictions
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Malawi Top 8 Cup

Ekhaya FC vs Karonga United Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.67 – 0.93
Avg goals2.60
Our pickHome
Ekhaya FC 54% Draw 27% Karonga United 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 54% 1.86 1.67
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.25 1.13
Goals 2.5 Under 52% 1.93 2.05
Both teams to score – Yes 50% 1.99 –
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.89 8.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 4.33
Goals 2 Over 1.75  ·  Under 2.05

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Ekhaya FC matches average 8.77 total corners (5.41 won per game) across their last 22 with corner data.
  • Ekhaya FC games clear the 9.5 corner line 23% of the time.
  • Karonga United win 3.72 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.20 over their last 25.
  • Karonga United games clear the 9.5 corner line 28% of the time.
  • Ekhaya FC matches average 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
  • Games involving Karonga United produce 2.56 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 52%.
  • The model leans Under 2.50 goals at 52% probability.

Ekhaya FC — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A L Chitipa United 0–1 4–2
2026-07-19 H D Nyasa Big Bullets FC 0–0 3–5
2026-07-12 H D Nyasa Big Bullets FC 1–1 5–3
2026-07-05 A D Mitundu Baptist FC 0–0 7–4
2026-06-28 H W MAFCO 1–0 7–1
2026-06-20 A D Mighty Wanderers 1–1 3–3
2026-06-13 A D Nyasa Big Bullets FC 1–1 3–6
2026-05-30 H W Masters Security 2–0 5–3
2026-05-23 A W Kamuzu Barracks 4–1 4–5
2026-05-16 H W Moyale Barracks 2–0 7–4

Karonga United — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-26 H W Creck SC 2–1 1–3
2026-07-19 A L Silver Strikers 1–4 2–4
2026-07-12 H W Silver Strikers 3–0 6–2
2026-07-04 H L Dedza Dynamos 1–3 8–5
2026-06-28 H D Moyale Barracks 0–0 6–6
2026-06-21 A L Blue Eagles 2–3 3–8
2026-06-14 A L Silver Strikers 0–2 2–6
2026-05-31 H W Red Lions 1–0 5–2
2026-05-27 A L Mighty Wanderers 1–4 1–10
2026-05-24 A W CIVO United 1–0 4–7

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Ekhaya FC vs Karonga United?
Our model gives Ekhaya FC a 54% chance, the draw 27% and Karonga United 20%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.