USA USL Championship
El Paso Locomotive FC vs Oakland Roots Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-111%2-110%1-08%
Expected goals1.85 – 1.25
Avg goals3.10
Our pickHome
El Paso Locomotive FC 51%
Draw 24%
Oakland Roots 25%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 51% | 1.96 | 1.95 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 76% | 1.31 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.75 | Over | 55% | 1.82 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 61% | 1.65 | 1.57 |
| Asian handicap | -0.25 | Home | 58% | 1.73 | 1.80 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 50% | 2.00 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 11% | 9.23 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.95 · Draw 3.50 · Away 3.10 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
| Asian handicap -0.25 | Home 1.80 · Away 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.3
El Paso Locomotive FC
9.5
Expected corners
4.2
Oakland Roots
El Paso Locomotive FC corner stats · Oakland Roots corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 50%
Under 50%
Match trends
- Our model projects 9.5 corners in this match, with El Paso Locomotive FC winning 5.3 of them.
- El Paso Locomotive FC matches average 9.69 total corners (5.10 won per game) across their last 39 with corner data.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 49% of El Paso Locomotive FC matches.
- Oakland Roots win 4.25 corners per game, with match totals averaging 8.75 over their last 36.
- Over 9.5 corners has landed in 33% of Oakland Roots matches.
- Games involving El Paso Locomotive FC produce 2.92 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
- Oakland Roots matches average 3.11 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
- Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 2.9 goals.
- Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 8.7 corners.
- On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.75 (55%).
El Paso Locomotive FC — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | H | W Monterey Bay FC | 1–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-08-02 | A | L Orange County SC | 0–2 | 12–3 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | W Sporting JAX | 2–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | L Tulsa | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L New Mexico United | 0–2 | 4–8 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | W Las Vegas Lights FC | 2–1 | 3–8 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | L Monterey Bay FC | 0–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Phoenix Rising FC | 1–1 | 0–4 |
| 2026-06-11 | A | D Detroit City FC | 1–1 | 5–10 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | L Colorado Switchbacks FC | 1–2 | 3–2 |
Oakland Roots — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 | A | D Las Vegas Lights FC | 0–0 | 8–5 |
| 2026-08-02 | H | L Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0–1 | 4–0 |
| 2026-07-26 | H | L Sacramento Republic | 1–3 | 3–7 |
| 2026-07-23 | A | L Lexington SC | 0–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-12 | H | L Spokane Velocity FC | 1–3 | 5–2 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L New Mexico United | 1–2 | 3–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | A | W Phoenix Rising FC | 4–3 | 2–9 |
| 2026-06-18 | H | D Birmingham Legion FC | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | D Miami FC | 0–0 | 7–5 |
| 2026-06-07 | A | W Las Vegas Lights FC | 2–0 | 6–6 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win El Paso Locomotive FC vs Oakland Roots?
- Our model gives El Paso Locomotive FC a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Oakland Roots 25%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in El Paso Locomotive FC vs Oakland Roots?
- The corner model projects 9.5 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.