MathPredictions
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Argentina Primera C Metropolitana

El Porvenir vs Fenix Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.15 – 0.65
Avg goals1.81
Our pickHome
El Porvenir 47% Draw 34% Fenix 20%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 47% 2.15 2.10
Double chance – Home or draw 80% 1.24 1.20
Goals 1.75 Under 52% 1.92 1.90
Both teams to score – No 66% 1.52 1.50
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 56% 1.79 1.83
Corners 9.5 Under 72% 1.39 1.80
Correct score – 1-0 +33% Value 18% 5.65 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.10  ·  Draw 2.80  ·  Away 3.60
Goals 1.75 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.83  ·  Away 1.98
Corners 8 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.5 El Porvenir
7.7 Expected corners
3.2 Fenix

El Porvenir corner stats · Fenix corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 28% Under 72%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 7.7 corners in this match, with El Porvenir winning 4.5 of them.
  • El Porvenir win 3.79 corners per game, with match totals averaging 7.48 over their last 29.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 21% of El Porvenir matches.
  • Across 35 recent matches, Fenix games produced 8.31 corners on average — 3.26 taken by Fenix themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of Fenix matches.
  • Games involving El Porvenir produce 1.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 48%.
  • Fenix matches average 2.14 goals, with both teams scoring in 43% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Under 1.75 (52%).

El Porvenir — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-29 A L Sportivo Barracas 2–3 7–3
2026-07-19 A L Club Mercedes 0–2 4–2
2026-07-12 H D Lujan 0–0 8–7
2026-07-06 A D General Lamadrid 1–1 1–5
2026-06-28 H D Leones de Rosario 0–0 3–3
2026-06-14 H L CA Atlas 0–1 5–3
2026-06-08 A D Canuelas FC 0–0 3–6
2026-05-31 H W Deportivo Muniz 2–1 1–5
2026-05-24 A D Deportivo Espanol 0–0 6–5
2026-05-17 H L Juventud Unida San Miguel 0–1 9–0

Fenix — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 H D Yupanqui 1–1 7–2
2026-07-18 A W Puerto Nuevo 1–0 0–8
2026-07-14 H W Sportivo Barracas 2–1 7–1
2026-07-06 A L Lujan 1–2 3–2
2026-06-30 H W General Lamadrid 3–1 2–5
2026-06-16 H L Leones de Rosario 0–1 8–4
2026-06-07 A D CA Atlas 1–1 5–7
2026-06-02 H L Canuelas FC 0–2 2–4
2026-05-26 A L Deportivo Muniz 0–1 5–5
2026-05-17 A L Centro Espanol 0–1 4–3

Match questions

Who is predicted to win El Porvenir vs Fenix?
Our model gives El Porvenir a 47% chance, the draw 34% and Fenix 20%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in El Porvenir vs Fenix?
The corner model projects 7.7 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 28% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.