Poland III Liga
Elana Torun vs Lipno Steszew Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.43 – 1.35
Avg goals2.78
Our pickHome
Elana Torun 38%
Draw 28%
Lipno Steszew 34%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 38% | 2.64 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 72% | 1.39 | 1.20 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 52% | 1.91 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 57% | 1.74 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 65% | 1.54 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.58 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.10 · Draw 3.60 · Away 2.80 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
5.0
Elana Torun
8.3
Expected corners
3.3
Lipno Steszew
Elana Torun corner stats · Lipno Steszew corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 35%
Under 65%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.3 corners here; Elana Torun are forecast for 5.
- Across 30 recent matches, Elana Torun games produced 9.10 corners on average — 4.80 taken by Elana Torun themselves.
- Elana Torun games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Lipno Steszew matches average 8.45 total corners (3.00 won per game) across their last 31 with corner data.
- Lipno Steszew games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- Elana Torun matches average 3.17 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.
- Games involving Lipno Steszew produce 2.94 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 45%.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 52% probability.
Elana Torun — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-04 | A | W Unia Wabrzezno | 2–1 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L Unia Swarzedz | 0–4 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | L Pogon Szczecin II | 0–4 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | L Zawisza Bydgoszcz | 0–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-05-01 | A | L Victoria Wrzesnia | 2–3 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-26 | H | D Kluczevia Stargard | 1–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-04-19 | A | L KTS-K Luzino | 1–2 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-12 | H | D Lipno Steszew | 1–1 | 3–2 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | L Wda Swiecie | 0–1 | 4–5 |
| 2026-03-24 | H | W Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal | 5–1 | 7–3 |
Lipno Steszew — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-16 | H | L Unia Swarzedz | 0–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Unia Swarzedz | 4–3 | 5–7 |
| 2026-05-23 | A | W Victoria Wrzesnia | 3–1 | 2–7 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | L KTS-K Luzino | 0–5 | 3–5 |
| 2026-05-13 | A | W Kluczevia Stargard | 3–0 | 1–8 |
| 2026-05-01 | H | W Notec Czarnkow | 1–0 | 0–6 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | W Cartusia Kartuzy | 1–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | W Pogon Szczecin II | 1–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-04-12 | A | D Elana Torun | 1–1 | 2–3 |
| 2026-04-04 | H | D Polonia Sroda Wlkp | 1–1 | 2–2 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Elana Torun vs Lipno Steszew?
- Our model gives Elana Torun a 38% chance, the draw 28% and Lipno Steszew 34%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Elana Torun vs Lipno Steszew?
- The corner model projects 8.3 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 35% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.