MathPredictions
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Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

Emelec vs SD Aucas Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.22 – 1.07
Avg goals2.29
Our pickHome
Emelec 38% Draw 31% SD Aucas 31%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 38% 2.62 2.20
Double chance – Home or draw 69% 1.45 1.29
Goals 2 Over 56% 1.80 1.78
Both teams to score – No 52% 1.91 1.73
Asian handicap -0.25 Away 55% 1.82 1.95
Corners 9.5 Under 51% 1.96 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 15% 6.88 6.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.20  ·  Draw 3.10  ·  Away 3.40
Goals 2 Over 1.78  ·  Under 2.03
Asian handicap -0.25 Home 1.85  ·  Away 1.95
Corners 9.5 Over 2.00  ·  Under 1.80

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

5.0 Emelec
9.4 Expected corners
4.4 SD Aucas

Emelec corner stats · SD Aucas corner stats

Corner line 9.50
Over 49% Under 51%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 9.4 corners in this match, with Emelec winning 5 of them.
  • Emelec win 4.73 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.29 over their last 45.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 31% of Emelec matches.
  • Across 44 recent matches, SD Aucas games produced 9.48 corners on average — 5.36 taken by SD Aucas themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 45% of SD Aucas matches.
  • Games involving Emelec produce 2.09 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 36%.
  • SD Aucas matches average 2.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 46% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.7 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 11.1 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.00 (56%).

Emelec — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-28 A L Deportivo Cuenca 1–2 4–12
2026-07-24 H D Mushuc Runa 1–1 11–7
2026-07-20 A L Independiente del Valle 1–6 0–6
2026-07-17 A W Orense 2–0 1–5
2026-07-13 H D Barcelona Guayaquil 0–0 6–2
2026-07-06 A D Delfin SC 1–1 6–7
2026-06-01 H W Universidad Catolica del Ecuador 1–0 2–5
2026-05-25 H W Macara 2–0 3–4
2026-05-21 A D Daquilema FC 0–0 6–2
2026-05-18 A D Manta FC 0–0 6–6

SD Aucas — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L Macara 1–4 6–2
2026-07-24 A L Orense 1–2 3–6
2026-07-20 A W Tecnico Universitario 1–0 6–10
2026-07-17 H L Independiente del Valle 0–3 2–3
2026-07-13 A W Deportivo Cuenca 1–0 4–5
2026-07-08 H W Guayaquil City 1–0 3–2
2026-06-01 A D Mushuc Runa 0–0 6–4
2026-05-26 H W Manta FC 3–1 8–4
2026-05-22 A W San Antonio FC Cotacachi 3–0 3–2
2026-05-17 A L Barcelona Guayaquil 0–3 5–1

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Emelec vs SD Aucas?
Our model gives Emelec a 38% chance, the draw 31% and SD Aucas 31%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Emelec vs SD Aucas?
The corner model projects 9.4 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 49% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.