Finland Kolmonen
ESPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
3-1
Expected goals3.29 – 1.14
Avg goals4.43
Our pickHome
ESPA 78%
Draw 13%
PPJ/Ruoholahti 9%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 91% | 1.10 | 1.01 |
| Goals | 4.25 | Over | 50% | 1.99 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 66% | 1.52 | – |
| Asian handicap | -2.5 | Away +12% Value | 58% | 1.71 | 1.90 |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 57% | 1.75 | 1.83 |
| Correct score | – | 3-1 +441% Value | 8% | 12.39 | 51.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.17 · Draw 7.50 · Away 11.00 |
| Goals 4.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -2.5 | Home 1.90 · Away 1.90 |
| Corners 9.5 | Over 1.83 · Under 1.98 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.6
ESPA
10.2
Expected corners
3.6
PPJ/Ruoholahti
ESPA corner stats · PPJ/Ruoholahti corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 57%
Under 43%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 10.2 corners here; ESPA are forecast for 6.6.
- ESPA win 6.94 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.50 over their last 18.
- ESPA games clear the 9.5 corner line 56% of the time.
- Across 20 recent matches, PPJ/Ruoholahti games produced 9.15 corners on average — 3.85 taken by PPJ/Ruoholahti themselves.
- PPJ/Ruoholahti games clear the 9.5 corner line 35% of the time.
- ESPA matches average 3.39 goals, with both teams scoring in 56% of them.
- Games involving PPJ/Ruoholahti produce 5.00 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 65%.
- The last 5 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.6 across their last 5 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 4.25 goals at 50% probability.
ESPA — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | A | W LoPa | 2–0 | 5–3 |
| 2026-07-04 | H | W LePa | 2–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-06-28 | A | L GrIFK Reservi | 2–4 | 9–5 |
| 2026-06-13 | H | W HooGee | 3–0 | 6–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | H | W Poxyt | 4–1 | 11–2 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | D EIF Academy | 1–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-05-16 | H | W MPS | 4–0 | 11–2 |
| 2026-05-09 | H | W Gilla FC | 6–1 | 3–6 |
| 2026-04-24 | A | W PPJ/Ruoholahti | 2–1 | 5–2 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L LoPa | 0–1 | 5–3 |
PPJ/Ruoholahti — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | H | L EIF Academy | 0–4 | 5–4 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | W EPS Reservi | 5–1 | 4–3 |
| 2026-06-26 | H | L NuPS | 1–6 | 2–7 |
| 2026-06-11 | A | L LePa | 1–3 | 10–7 |
| 2026-06-05 | H | W LoPa | 3–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-05-29 | H | D MPS | 0–0 | 4–10 |
| 2026-05-22 | A | L Poxyt | 0–3 | 4–5 |
| 2026-05-08 | H | D GrIFK Reservi | 1–1 | 4–9 |
| 2026-04-29 | A | D HooGee | 2–2 | 2–4 |
| 2026-04-24 | H | L ESPA | 1–2 | 2–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win ESPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?
- Our model gives ESPA a 78% chance, the draw 13% and PPJ/Ruoholahti 9%. The most likely score is 3-1.
- How many corners are expected in ESPA vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?
- The corner model projects 10.2 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 57% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.