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World Club Friendlies

Estrela Amadora vs Al-Nassr Riyadh Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.46 – 1.33
Avg goals2.78
Our pickHome
Estrela Amadora 39% Draw 28% Al-Nassr Riyadh 33%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 39% 2.56 2.30
Double chance – Home or away 72% 1.38 1.21
Goals 2.5 Over 53% 1.90 1.80
Both teams to score – Yes 58% 1.74 –
Asian handicap 0 Home 54% 1.85 1.80
Correct score – 1-1 13% 7.61 7.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.30  ·  Draw 3.50  ·  Away 2.55
Goals 2.5 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00
Asian handicap 0 Home 1.80  ·  Away 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Match trends

  • Estrela Amadora matches average 9.30 total corners (3.24 won per game) across their last 37 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 38% of Estrela Amadora matches.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh win 6.76 corners per game, with match totals averaging 9.94 over their last 51.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 47% of Al-Nassr Riyadh matches.
  • Games involving Estrela Amadora produce 2.78 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 49%.
  • Al-Nassr Riyadh matches average 3.55 goals, with both teams scoring in 49% of them.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.50 (53%).

Estrela Amadora — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-17 A D Braga 2–2 1–7
2026-05-12 H D Famalicao 0–0 3–10
2026-05-02 A L Moreirense 2–3 4–1
2026-04-27 H L FC Porto 1–2 0–6
2026-04-19 A L FC Arouca 0–1 3–4
2026-04-12 H L Sporting 0–1 4–13
2026-04-04 A L Nacional 0–2 6–5
2026-03-21 H W Casa Pia 4–0 6–1
2026-03-16 A L Rio Ave 1–2 4–10
2026-03-08 H D Gil Vicente 2–2 0–8

Al-Nassr Riyadh — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-05-22 H W Damac FC 4–1 6–2
2026-05-17 H L Gamba Osaka 0–1 9–3
2026-05-13 H D Al Hilal Riyadh 1–1 5–3
2026-05-08 A W Al Shabab Riyadh 4–2 8–2
2026-05-04 A L Al Qadisiya Al Khubar 1–3 5–6
2026-04-30 H W Al Ahli Jeddah 2–0 8–3
2026-04-23 H W Al-Ahli Doha 5–1 4–4
2026-04-19 A W Al Wasl SC 4–0 7–3
2026-04-16 H W Al Ittifaq Dammam 1–0 9–0
2026-04-12 A W Al Akhdoud 2–0 6–2

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Estrela Amadora vs Al-Nassr Riyadh?
Our model gives Estrela Amadora a 39% chance, the draw 28% and Al-Nassr Riyadh 33%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.