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Argentina Liga Profesional

Estudiantes LP vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-0
Expected goals1.60 – 0.72
Avg goals2.32
Our pickHome
Estudiantes LP 57% Draw 27% Defensa y Justicia 16%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) – Home 57% 1.75 1.67
Double chance – Home or draw 84% 1.19 1.11
Goals 2 Over +5% Value 56% 1.77 1.90
Both teams to score – No 58% 1.73 1.53
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 51% 1.97 1.90
Corners 8.5 Under 50% 1.99 1.90
Correct score – 1-0 +60% Value 15% 6.87 11.00

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 1.67  ·  Draw 3.30  ·  Away 6.50
Goals 2 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90
Asian handicap -0.75 Home 1.90  ·  Away 1.90
Corners 9 Over 1.90  ·  Under 1.90

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.7 Estudiantes LP
8.5 Expected corners
3.8 Defensa y Justicia

Estudiantes LP corner stats · Defensa y Justicia corner stats

Corner line 8.50
Over 50% Under 50%

Match trends

  • Our model projects 8.5 corners in this match, with Estudiantes LP winning 4.7 of them.
  • Across 48 recent matches, Estudiantes LP games produced 8.69 corners on average — 4.48 taken by Estudiantes LP themselves.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 42% of Estudiantes LP matches.
  • Defensa y Justicia matches average 8.39 total corners (4.27 won per game) across their last 33 with corner data.
  • Over 9.5 corners has landed in 24% of Defensa y Justicia matches.
  • Games involving Estudiantes LP produce 1.83 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 38%.
  • Defensa y Justicia matches average 2.36 goals, with both teams scoring in 61% of them.
  • Across their previous 10 meetings, these sides averaged 1.6 goals.
  • Head-to-head, the last 10 meetings with corner data averaged 10.2 corners.
  • On the goal line, our probabilities favour Over 2.00 (56%).

Estudiantes LP — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-27 H L Independiente 0–2 5–5
2026-06-01 H W Rosario Central 3–0 2–4
2026-05-27 H W Independiente Medellin 1–0 9–5
2026-05-21 A L Flamengo 0–1 5–3
2026-05-11 H L Racing Club 0–1 1–4
2026-05-07 A D Cusco FC 1–1 3–3
2026-05-03 A W Platense 2–0 5–7
2026-04-30 H D Flamengo 1–1 8–2
2026-04-26 H D Talleres Cordoba 0–0 6–1
2026-04-19 A W Instituto AC Cordoba 1–0 2–7

Defensa y Justicia — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Deportivo Riestra 2–1 5–3
2026-07-24 H D Aldosivi 1–1 6–2
2026-07-17 A L Racing Club 1–4 2–2
2026-05-05 A L Gimnasia Mendoza 1–2 7–2
2026-04-24 H L Boca Juniors 0–4 4–1
2026-04-19 A L Independiente 1–3 5–6
2026-04-14 H L Talleres Cordoba 1–2 6–2
2026-04-07 A L Instituto AC Cordoba 0–2 6–5
2026-04-02 H W CA Chaco For Ever 2–1 4–2
2026-03-22 H W Union Santa Fe 2–0 5–6

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Estudiantes LP vs Defensa y Justicia?
Our model gives Estudiantes LP a 57% chance, the draw 27% and Defensa y Justicia 16%. The most likely score is 1-0.
How many corners are expected in Estudiantes LP vs Defensa y Justicia?
The corner model projects 8.5 total corners. Over 8.50 corners is rated at 50% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.