Argentina Primera B Metropolitana
Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.44 – 0.83
Avg goals2.27
Our pickHome
Excursionistas 50%
Draw 29%
Deportivo Armenio 21%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 50% | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 79% | 1.26 | 1.11 |
| Goals | 2 | Over +7% Value | 55% | 1.82 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | No | 56% | 1.80 | 1.50 |
| Asian handicap | -0.5 | Home | 50% | 2.00 | 1.95 |
| Corners | 8 | Over | 51% | 1.98 | 1.93 |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 14% | 7.35 | 7.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.67 · Draw 3.30 · Away 4.75 |
| Goals 2 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
| Asian handicap -0.75 | Home 1.95 · Away 1.85 |
| Corners 8 | Over 1.93 · Under 1.88 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.2
Excursionistas
8.0
Expected corners
3.9
Deportivo Armenio
Excursionistas corner stats · Deportivo Armenio corner stats
Corner line 8.00
Over 51%
Under 49%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8 corners here; Excursionistas are forecast for 4.2.
- Across 42 recent matches, Excursionistas games produced 8.95 corners on average — 4.67 taken by Excursionistas themselves.
- Excursionistas games clear the 9.5 corner line 43% of the time.
- Deportivo Armenio matches average 7.86 total corners (4.51 won per game) across their last 49 with corner data.
- Deportivo Armenio games clear the 9.5 corner line 31% of the time.
- Excursionistas matches average 2.29 goals, with both teams scoring in 48% of them.
- Games involving Deportivo Armenio produce 2.16 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 57%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 1.8 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.00 goals at 55% probability.
Excursionistas — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | A | D CSD Flandria | 1–1 | 4–2 |
| 2026-07-19 | H | D Argentino Quilmes | 0–0 | 3–1 |
| 2026-07-15 | A | W Defensores Unidos | 2–0 | 9–7 |
| 2026-07-11 | H | L Club Comunicaciones | 1–2 | 7–6 |
| 2026-07-05 | A | L CS Dock Sud | 1–3 | 1–4 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W Deportivo Merlo | 5–0 | 4–1 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | D Deportivo Camioneros | 1–1 | 7–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | A | W Sportivo Italiano | 1–0 | 6–9 |
| 2026-06-01 | A | W Villa San Carlos | 2–0 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-28 | A | D Argentino Quilmes | 2–2 | 4–2 |
Deportivo Armenio — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-26 | H | D Arsenal de Sarandi | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-19 | A | D Argentino Merlo | 2–2 | 6–3 |
| 2026-07-15 | H | W Talleres Remedios | 2–1 | 1–4 |
| 2026-07-11 | A | D Deportivo Laferrere | 1–1 | 8–4 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | D CA Brown de Adrogue | 0–0 | 8–2 |
| 2026-06-28 | H | W CA Ituzaingo | 2–1 | 5–4 |
| 2026-06-21 | H | W CSD Flandria | 2–1 | 3–3 |
| 2026-06-15 | A | D Argentino Quilmes | 1–1 | 1–6 |
| 2026-06-07 | H | W Defensores Unidos | 3–0 | 4–2 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | W Club Comunicaciones | 1–0 | 5–7 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio?
- Our model gives Excursionistas a 50% chance, the draw 29% and Deportivo Armenio 21%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Excursionistas vs Deportivo Armenio?
- The corner model projects 8.0 total corners. Over 8.00 corners is rated at 51% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.