UK Friendlies
Exeter vs Bristol City Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
1-1
Expected goals1.29 – 1.62
Avg goals2.92
Our pickAway
Exeter 29%
Draw 27%
Bristol City 44%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Away | 44% | 2.27 | 2.10 |
| Double chance | – | Home or away | 73% | 1.36 | 1.21 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 56% | 1.79 | 1.80 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 59% | 1.69 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Under | 58% | 1.71 | – |
| Correct score | – | 1-1 | 13% | 7.99 | 7.50 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 2.88 · Draw 3.70 · Away 2.10 |
| Goals 2.75 | Over 1.80 · Under 2.00 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
4.2
Exeter
8.8
Expected corners
4.6
Bristol City
Exeter corner stats · Bristol City corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 42%
Under 58%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 8.8 corners here; Exeter are forecast for 4.2.
- Exeter win 4.79 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.14 over their last 56.
- Exeter games clear the 9.5 corner line 55% of the time.
- Across 55 recent matches, Bristol City games produced 10.07 corners on average — 4.89 taken by Bristol City themselves.
- Bristol City games clear the 9.5 corner line 53% of the time.
- Exeter matches average 2.64 goals, with both teams scoring in 39% of them.
- Games involving Bristol City produce 2.69 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 46%.
- The last 4 head-to-head meetings averaged 3.3 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 11.3 across their last 4 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 56% probability.
Exeter — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Weston Super Mare | 2–0 | 7–1 |
| 2026-07-18 | A | L Truro City | 0–1 | 3–1 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | L Bradford | 1–2 | 6–7 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | D Burton Albion | 1–1 | 1–3 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | D Stockport | 3–3 | 4–6 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D Plymouth | 2–2 | 2–12 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Doncaster | 3–0 | 7–4 |
| 2026-04-03 | A | L Blackpool | 0–1 | 10–5 |
| 2026-03-28 | H | D Leyton Orient | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-03-21 | A | L Wigan | 0–2 | 4–3 |
Bristol City — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | H | W Newcastle | 4–1 | 1–17 |
| 2026-07-30 | A | L Forest Green | 2–3 | 3–11 |
| 2026-07-25 | A | W Swindon | 3–1 | 11–7 |
| 2026-07-17 | A | L Stockport | 0–2 | 4–4 |
| 2026-05-02 | H | W Stoke | 2–0 | 2–15 |
| 2026-04-25 | A | L Birmingham | 1–2 | 5–6 |
| 2026-04-22 | A | D Southampton | 2–2 | 3–7 |
| 2026-04-18 | H | L Norwich | 2–4 | 2–10 |
| 2026-04-11 | A | D QPR | 0–0 | 6–3 |
| 2026-04-06 | H | W Sheff Utd | 1–0 | 0–5 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win Exeter vs Bristol City?
- Our model gives Exeter a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Bristol City 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
- How many corners are expected in Exeter vs Bristol City?
- The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.