MathPredictions

UK Friendlies

Exeter vs Bristol City Prediction

Kickoff (UTC):

Predicted score 1-1
Expected goals1.29 – 1.62
Avg goals2.92
Our pickAway
Exeter 29% Draw 27% Bristol City 44%

Markets

MarketLineOur pickProbabilityFair oddsOdds
Match result (1X2) Away 44% 2.27 2.10
Double chance Home or away 73% 1.36 1.21
Goals 2.5 Over 56% 1.79 1.80
Both teams to score Yes 59% 1.69
Corners 9.5 Under 58% 1.71
Correct score 1-1 13% 7.99 7.50

Bookmaker odds

Match result (1X2) Home 2.88  ·  Draw 3.70  ·  Away 2.10
Goals 2.75 Over 1.80  ·  Under 2.00

Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.

Corner forecast

4.2 Exeter
8.8 Expected corners
4.6 Bristol City
Corner line 9.50
Over 42% Under 58%

Match trends

Exeter — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-25 A W Weston Super Mare 2–0 7–1
2026-07-18 A L Truro City 0–1 3–1
2026-05-02 H L Bradford 1–2 6–7
2026-04-25 A D Burton Albion 1–1 1–3
2026-04-18 H D Stockport 3–3 4–6
2026-04-11 A D Plymouth 2–2 2–12
2026-04-06 H W Doncaster 3–0 7–4
2026-04-03 A L Blackpool 0–1 10–5
2026-03-28 H D Leyton Orient 0–0 6–3
2026-03-21 A L Wigan 0–2 4–3

Bristol City — last 10 matches

DateH/AOpponentScoreCorners
2026-07-30 H W Newcastle 4–1 1–17
2026-07-30 A L Forest Green 2–3 3–11
2026-07-25 A W Swindon 3–1 11–7
2026-07-17 A L Stockport 0–2 4–4
2026-05-02 H W Stoke 2–0 2–15
2026-04-25 A L Birmingham 1–2 5–6
2026-04-22 A D Southampton 2–2 3–7
2026-04-18 H L Norwich 2–4 2–10
2026-04-11 A D QPR 0–0 6–3
2026-04-06 H W Sheff Utd 1–0 0–5

Match questions

Who is predicted to win Exeter vs Bristol City?
Our model gives Exeter a 29% chance, the draw 27% and Bristol City 44%. The most likely score is 1-1.
How many corners are expected in Exeter vs Bristol City?
The corner model projects 8.8 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 42% probability.
How are these predictions calculated?
Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.