Estonia Esiliiga B
FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tabasalu Prediction
Kickoff (UTC):
Predicted score
2-1
Expected goals2.30 – 1.21
Avg goals3.50
Our pickHome
FA Kalev Tartu 61%
Draw 21%
JK Tabasalu 18%
Markets
| Market | Line | Our pick | Probability | Fair odds | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result (1X2) | – | Home | 61% | 1.64 | 1.53 |
| Double chance | – | Home or draw | 82% | 1.22 | 1.16 |
| Goals | 2.5 | Over | 68% | 1.47 | 1.90 |
| Both teams to score | – | Yes | 64% | 1.57 | – |
| Corners | 9.5 | Over | 67% | 1.49 | – |
| Correct score | – | 2-1 | 10% | 10.44 | 19.00 |
Bookmaker odds
| Match result (1X2) | Home 1.53 · Draw 4.75 · Away 3.90 |
| Goals 4.25 | Over 1.90 · Under 1.90 |
Latest pre-match prices from the odds feed, refreshed hourly until 30 minutes before kickoff.
Corner forecast
6.4
FA Kalev Tartu
11.1
Expected corners
4.7
JK Tabasalu
FA Kalev Tartu corner stats · JK Tabasalu corner stats
Corner line 9.50
Over 67%
Under 33%
Match trends
- The corner model expects around 11.1 corners here; FA Kalev Tartu are forecast for 6.4.
- FA Kalev Tartu matches average 10.69 total corners (5.81 won per game) across their last 26 with corner data.
- FA Kalev Tartu games clear the 9.5 corner line 62% of the time.
- JK Tabasalu win 5.16 corners per game, with match totals averaging 10.88 over their last 25.
- JK Tabasalu games clear the 9.5 corner line 72% of the time.
- FA Kalev Tartu matches average 4.08 goals, with both teams scoring in 65% of them.
- Games involving JK Tabasalu produce 3.96 goals per match on average; BTTS has hit 56%.
- The last 9 head-to-head meetings averaged 4.9 goals per game.
- Corners have averaged 8.9 across their last 9 direct meetings.
- The model leans Over 2.50 goals at 68% probability.
FA Kalev Tartu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-19 | A | W Levadia Tallinn III | 5–0 | 4–5 |
| 2026-07-04 | A | L Johvi FC Phoenix | 2–3 | 7–2 |
| 2026-06-22 | A | L JK Tabasalu | 1–3 | 4–10 |
| 2026-06-19 | A | L JK Trans Narva II | 2–3 | 5–8 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | L JK Viljandi Tulevik | 3–4 | 5–2 |
| 2026-06-02 | A | L JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2–7 | 3–2 |
| 2026-05-24 | A | W Tallinna JK Legion | 6–0 | 9–4 |
| 2026-05-17 | H | D JK Tammeka Tartu II | 2–2 | 9–5 |
| 2026-05-10 | H | L Parnu JK Vaprus II | 1–2 | 9–6 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | L Johvi FC Phoenix | 3–4 | 8–8 |
JK Tabasalu — last 10 matches
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score | Corners |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | H | W JK Viljandi Tulevik | 2–0 | 6–7 |
| 2026-07-05 | H | L Parnu JK Vaprus II | 2–8 | 3–9 |
| 2026-06-22 | H | W FA Kalev Tartu | 3–1 | 10–4 |
| 2026-06-14 | H | W JK Tallinna Kalev II | 2–1 | 8–3 |
| 2026-05-31 | A | L JK Trans Narva II | 0–5 | 3–7 |
| 2026-05-28 | H | L Tallinna JK Legion | 2–3 | 5–5 |
| 2026-05-18 | H | L Levadia Tallinn III | 0–5 | 7–4 |
| 2026-05-10 | A | W Johvi FC Phoenix | 2–1 | 3–4 |
| 2026-05-07 | H | W JK Trans Narva II | 1–0 | 12–7 |
| 2026-05-02 | A | W JK Tallinna Kalev II | 3–2 | 5–9 |
Match questions
- Who is predicted to win FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tabasalu?
- Our model gives FA Kalev Tartu a 61% chance, the draw 21% and JK Tabasalu 18%. The most likely score is 2-1.
- How many corners are expected in FA Kalev Tartu vs JK Tabasalu?
- The corner model projects 11.1 total corners. Over 9.50 corners is rated at 67% probability.
- How are these predictions calculated?
- Predictions come from a statistical model fitted on multi-season match results: team attack/defense ratings with time decay, blended with current market lines. No human tipsters are involved, and every published prediction is settled and counted in our public accuracy record.